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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (169725)	3/10/2022 8:32:33 AM
From: stsimon	3 Recommendations Recommended By Drygulch Dan GROUND ZERO™ Hawkmoon Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 220726

Mine is likely a minority view, but many stocks have been in a bubble for the last 2 years. The Fed has put its thumb on the scale making buy the dip the rational action to make money. I am assuming that the Fed will take its thumb off the scale making price discovery more accurate. Combine the above with the uncertainty of the war in Europe and the coming elections in the U.S., along with continued supply chain issues and rampant inflation, and stocks can drop a long way. We haven't begun to see what companies will go bankrupt or what hedge funds may blow up. There are enough risks that we could see stocks with weak earnings and weak balance sheets decline 80% from their highs with some declining 100%. I'd be looking for a 50% decline off the highs for larger companies. There will also be winners, as there are in most bear markets. If the Fed chickens out and wavers on inflation, then the party resumes....

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (169725)	3/10/2022 8:39:35 AM
From: da_spot	3 Recommendations Recommended By Drygulch Dan GROUND ZERO™ Hawkmoon Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 220726

There's some truth to this tweet (sigh!) Economic Calendar: March 10: Most important CPI Report of our lifetime March 16: Most important Fed Meeting of our lifetime March 17: Most important St. Patrick's Day of our lifetime March 18: Most important Quad Witching of our lifetime March 31: End of the Drama Queen quarter. — Joseph Fahmy (@jfahmy) March 10, 2022

To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (169725)	3/10/2022 9:22:35 AM
From: da_spot	2 Recommendations Recommended By GROUND ZERO™ Hawkmoon Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 220726

This is a good read imo: finance.yahoo.com 5 things need to happen before the market turns around Joe Fahmy ·Contributor Wed, March 9, 2022, 9:51 AM·5 min read In this article: SPY +2.68% ^DJI +2.00% ^GSPC +2.57% ^IXIC +3.59% TQQQ +10.70% DIA +2.10% Around the pandemic lows in 2020, I wrote that even though the virus will get worse, “i t doesn’t mean the stock market has to go lower.” I remained bullish throughout the strong run but turned cautious in mid-December 2021 for two main reasons: The market technicals were breaking down and the Fed became increasingly hawkish. I’ve been defensive since then and maintained a high cash position for my clients. In order for me to feel more confident about a sustained, new uptrend, and increase my exposure to equities, I need to see five things happen.