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Strategies & Market Trends : The Aristocrats (tm) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: sense who wrote (3492)	3/14/2022 6:41:59 AM
From: sense	Respond to of 5610

The next two days... Markets are poised for massive volatility... as futures point to markets opening 1% higher... in spite of ending Friday by lolling into a curve steepening to a vertical drop... Oil is pointed down by ~$5 or 5%... gold off near 1%... silver down just over 2%... And, on Tuesday... the Fed is poised to simultaneously raise rates 0.25%... announce that QE has ended... and announce the beginning of the reversal of QE... in spite of the massive uncertainties in war risks being realized,.. and om result of the massive financial impacts being imposed by sanctions being imposed... Great effort was expended, today, to manufacture "optimism" about the risks faced... and, we shall see tomorrow how effective that campaign has been... and how persistent the impact may prove... in countering the pervasive "fear" now dominating the markets... Expect to continue seeing market theater... four days out of five... and one day per week of reality check... Options flow... in trading SPY... is 92% negative... with many massive bets in the millions made on far out of the money puts near 360 and lower... generating a very large mass with its own gravity pulling the markets lower now... at least down to the 400 level... where there is some trading resistance in the form of a huge mass in options. And, the news flow is likely to dominate the trade... moving it one way or another... I wouldn't bet on the market closing higher... or bet on it opening lower... but, otherwise... the probabilities of a move against any position you might hold in the short term... are very high... But, overall, war or no war, Fed or no Fed, the risks to the market continue growing...and, there is a war... and there is a Fed... and they do not lower the risks...