SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marcher who wrote (185827)3/30/2022 7:53:31 AM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations

Recommended By
marcher
Pogeu Mahone

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217709
 
I got some questions re the near future

- How long can Russia supply commodities without getting paid in un-sanctionable fiat paper
- How long can EU do w/o Russian commodities

We shall find out in fairly short time

zerohedge.com

Germany Scrambles To Ration Gas After Refusing To Make Payments In Rubles

Now that Moscow has doubled down on its demands that its European "partners" pay for its oil and gas in rubles instead of euros (which, as the bloc already demonstrated, can be easily confiscated in the name of "sanctions"), the German government is digging in its heels as the payment dispute threatens to precipitate problematic energy shortages in Europe's largest economy.



The FT reported Wednesday that German Energy Minister Robert Habeck has activated the "early warning phase" of Germany's gas emergency law, which was adopted to help ration supplies in the face of a severe shortage. The decision will alert German consumers and businesses to do what they can to conserve energy.

Too bad President Biden and the US will take years to reroute their promised LNG exports ( and even so, they will likely never be able to fully compensate for Russian supplies).

Habeck issued the warning for fear that Moscow would swiftly move to cut off energy exports to one of its biggest customers in Europe over its refusal to make payment in rubles, which Habeck has insisted would be a violation of the two sides' contract.
The move was triggered by German concern that Russia might cut supplies to the country and its neighbors because they are rebuffing Moscow’s efforts to force payment for gas imports in rubles.
After demanding last week that "hostile states" pay for its gas and oil in rubles (although it hinted that gold and cryptocurrency might also be considered), Moscow said it wouldn't share its resources "for free" after the G-7 aggressively repudiated the Russians' request.
"We will definitely not supply oil and gas for free, that's for sure. It's hardly possible and reasonable to engage in charity in our situation," Putin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said earlier this week.
As Germany scrambles to address a looming shortfall in energy supplies, analysts are warning that the government's refusal to meet Moscow's request for payment in rubles could create a "substantial" risk.
During the early warning phase - the first of three stages in Germany’s emergency response - a crisis team from the economics ministry, the regulator and the private sector will monitor imports and storage.
If supplies fall short, and less draconian attempts to lower consumption do not work, the government would cut off certain parts of German industry from the grid and give preferential treatment to households.
Volker Wieland, a professor of economics at Frankfurt University and a member of the German council of economic advisers, on Wednesday warned that a halt in Russian energy supplies would create a “substantial” risk of a recession and bring Europe’s largest economy "close to double-digit rates of inflation."
Already, the German economy is facing its most brutal inflation in decades, with an annual headline inflation rate that could top 6% by the end of the year. The dire situation has already prompted the government to subsidize citizens' energy costs with a round of energy stimmies.

Further restrictions on Russian supply could have even more dire consequences.

As a reminder, Russia dominates gas and oil exports to the EU:



Source: FT

Of course, if Berlin doesn't play ball, gas won't be the only commodity in short supply. The Kremlin said on Wednesday that demanding ruble payments for exports of oil, grain, fertilizers, coal, metals and other key commodities in addition to natural gas was a good idea, Russia's top lawmaker Vyacheslav Volodin said on Wednesday, per Reuters.
"If you want gas, find rubles," Volodin, the speaker of the lower house of parliament, said in a post on Telegram.
Peskov, meanwhile, said the dollar's global reserve currency was already diminishing, and that pricing Russia's biggest exports in rubles would be "in our interests and the interests of our partners."

Now, if the leaders of Europe don't play ball, then President Biden's prediction of devastating food shortages could become a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Sent from my iPad



To: marcher who wrote (185827)4/2/2022 5:06:43 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 217709
 
Good news, that according to the Pentagon, there is ‘no offensive bio weapons’ in the Ukraine labs that the Pentagon at least admits to knowing about but mum on funding, which poor Ukraine is presumably not funding unless it had intended to use whatever might reside in the labs for purposes other than offense
I can say to you unequivocally there are no offensive biologic weapons in the Ukraine laboratories that the United States has been involved with.
Either the Pentagon denizens believe the rest of the world including US Congress all cretins, or worse, that the Pentagon and the US Congress are working together to forestall coming revelations. I am hoping the former is more true than the latter, but at this juncture cannot be sure.

Arguably, … the answer to a much simpler question, “are there any bio protocols in those labs that can be developed into weapons, irrespective of purpose, and never mind the funding source” appears to immutably be “yes”.

msn.com

‘No offensive biologic weapons’ in Ukrainian biolabs US assisted, Pentagon says

There are no “offensive biologic weapons” in any of the dozens of biological labs in Ukraine that the United States has partnered with on safety precautions.

The U.S. has since 2005 worked with Ukrainian officials on how to implement additional safety procedures in 44 labs, which had previously been used for the former Soviet Union's illegal biological weapons program. These facilities have gained outsize significance recently amid a Russian disinformation campaign claiming that the U.S. is working with Ukraine to develop biological weapons, which the Biden administration has forcefully denied.

Deborah Rosenbaum, the assistant secretary of defense for nuclear, chemical, and biological defense programs, told the House subcommittee on Intelligence and Special Operations on Friday that “I can say to you unequivocally there are no offensive biologic weapons in the Ukraine laboratories that the United States has been involved with.

PENTAGON: 'SMALL NUMBERS' OF RUSSIAN TROOPS LEAVING KYIV, 'NOT A REAL WITHDRAWAL'

“The department remains very concerned about the ability to get accurate and transparent information out to the U.S. public, as well as certainly our allies and the rest of the world,” she said. “So one of the things that the department has been doing — and this is particularly related to the public health laboratories in Ukraine that is being tragically used by the Russians as a potential for a false flag operation — from the White House on down to the Defense Department, as well as Department of State, as well as all of the vehicles that we have to be able to communicate accurate information out about this and the work that has been underway.”



Sent from my iPad