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To: Les H who wrote (27074)5/18/2022 8:14:13 PM
From: Les H  Respond to of 29601
 
Market following May historical pattern so far

jeffhirsch.tumblr.com



To: Les H who wrote (27074)5/21/2022 9:49:11 AM
From: Les H  Respond to of 29601
 
S&P 500 corrects 38.2 percent of 2020-2021 rally

jeffhirsch.tumblr.com

Nasdaq hit halfway mark for same. FANGMAN stocks have pulled back 62.8% of March 2020 rally.

Dow Jones Industrial still has another 1400 points lower before a minimum 38.2% retracement.



To: Les H who wrote (27074)6/13/2022 8:06:12 PM
From: Les H  Respond to of 29601
 
It's so far following 1973. Interest rates rose sharply in June, July, and August before economy went into recession.

mrci.com

The GDP was 5.6% in 1973, unemployment was 4.9%, and inflation was 6.2%.

Date Fed Funds Rate Event
Jan. 19 6.0% Stagflation
Feb. 23 6.5% No notable event
March 2 7.0% No notable event
April 17 7.25% Inflation at 5.1%
May 15 7.5%
June 19 8.5%
July 17 10.25%

thebalance.com


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