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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (62703)6/15/2022 8:03:25 AM
From: Real Man3 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
Fiscally Conservative
Lee Lichterman III

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 98925
 
cmegroup.com

95% chance of 75 bp hike today, this is up from 90% 50 bp hike probability a week ago, thus the tanking.
If we get 50 bp there will be an explosive rally. The Fed previously said 50 bp.



To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (62703)6/15/2022 8:22:38 AM
From: Sun Tzu  Respond to of 98925
 
Yes.



To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (62703)6/15/2022 8:55:32 AM
From: Jacob Snyder3 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
Lee Lichterman III
Sun Tzu

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 98925
 
<bond market draining> yes. Bonds are now a Risk Asset, volatile with a large downside potential.

Pension funds with large bond holdings are going to require re-funding, to meet their obligations. The end of the 40-year bull market in bonds is going to make it much harder for all defined-benefit pensions.



To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (62703)6/15/2022 9:30:13 AM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 98925
 
Corporations are increasingly borrowing from banks instead of the bond/commercial paper markets.