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Strategies & Market Trends : Young and Older Folk Portfolio -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rarebird who wrote (996)6/21/2022 12:35:15 PM
From: chowder2 Recommendations

Recommended By
red cardinal
Waitress

  Respond to of 21937
 
>> I presented a scenario where the old folk portfolio would be devastated through a multi-decade secular bear market where the market falls well over 50% over a multi-decade period and cash flows, in the form of dividends get cut in half or are eliminated entirely. <<

If the dividends in the Old Folk Portfolio get cut in half or are eliminated, everyone here with an equity portfolio faces the same risks.

The advantage the Old Folk Portfolio has is that only $100K in annual dividends is required for retirement, and it will generate over $300K in dividend income in 2023. I have already built in a huge margin of income safety, but I sincerely believe a 50% cut in portfolio income isn't in the cards. Some of the holdings might see 50% cuts but I don't see the portfolio as a whole doing that.

I think the portfolio is well insulated against not having enough income to live on in retirement.



To: Rarebird who wrote (996)6/21/2022 8:05:12 PM
From: Cogito Ergo Sum1 Recommendation

Recommended By
red cardinal

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 21937
 
Personally that is why I have real estate .. not as investment for profit... home and chalet.. I am VERY handy.. most repairs even quite major.. no issue... and a job that pays me to stay in shape.. I secured myself to be last on list of layoff.. I have great vacay time and benefits...

planning is everything :0) My port can be cut in half .. I will still be very fine.. mentally and physically OK G-d or nature willing

if port went to zero ..i would still be OK.. less for kids though LOL

I have places to live.. can grow enough food to sustain me and many EASILY...

in your scenario I may need ANOTHER bigger gun :0)