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Strategies & Market Trends : Young and Older Folk Portfolio -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: chowder who wrote (1020)	7/5/2022 2:30:49 PM
From: chowder	4 Recommendations Recommended By INCOGNIT0$ Menominee red cardinal Waitress Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 21743

Re: Old Folk Portfolio ... Buys and Sells As I stated yesterday, I did sell half of the JNJ position today. A full position in this portfolio is $65 and JNJ was at $170K, it is now down to $75K. I then placed a number of limit buy orders and I presented them in an earlier comment yesterday. Three of those orders have hit today. I was looking for companies who were valued for a "worst case" scenario when compared to their intrinsic value. In using a DCF Model, there are three scenarios presented. There is the Base Scenario, the Best Scenario and the Worst Scenario. The worst case represents a deep discount to the base rate. Intrinsic Value is a fundamental, objective value that is based on the company's financials (such as revenue, net income, cash, debt, etc.). Where market price tells you the price other people are willing to pay, intrinsic value shows you the stock's value based on an analysis of its actual financial performance. Since we are in a bear market I thought it prudent to look for worst case scenarios regarding valuations. PH had a worst case scenario price target of $241.53. The LBO hit at $241.00. CMI had a worst case scenario price target of $188.59. The LBO hit at $188.21. BTI had a worst case scenario price target of $43.53. The LBO hit at $41.00. I still have plenty of cash to put to work but I'm going to do it slowly as I expect further downside from this market.

To: chowder who wrote (1020)	7/14/2022 5:28:27 PM
From: chowder	1 Recommendation Recommended By peterad Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 21743

Re: OLD FOLK PORTFOLIO ... Limit Order Triggered. I had initially set a series of limit orders for this portfolio and one of them triggered today ... APD. I had set this limit order where it represented a 30% correction from its 52 week high and traded just above its 52 week low. This is the price range where I thought it might provide a little price support. Entry was $220, it closed at $221.98 and is up to $222.73 in after hours trading. In the coming days, provided the market is still correcting, I will establish another limit buy order for APD. This is an underweight position and the goal is to build up it in size while it's in its down cycle. Company - Limit Price AEP - $88 APD - $220 (already hit) BTI - $41 (already hit) CNP - $27 CVS - $88 D - $72 DHI - $60 FDX - $210 HTGC - $13 LEG - $32 MA - $285 MDLZ - $58 MS - $72 NKE - $92 PH - $241 (already hit) TJX - $49 TSCO - $175 TXN - 128

To: chowder who wrote (1020)	8/10/2022 3:24:31 PM
From: misscbd	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 21743

I notice you list LEG's 4.8% dividend increase but I don't see it in this portfolio. What am I missing? It's on my list to buy -- just wondered if it is scheduled for your OFP.

To: chowder who wrote (1020)	8/11/2022 8:44:25 PM
From: chowder	3 Recommendations Recommended By 1RustyNail Menominee red cardinal Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 21743

Re: OLD FOLK PORTFOLIO ... Updated 8/11/22 Portfolio Balance: $6,346,094 Forward 12 months income: $281,720 Portfolio yield: 4.44% Dividend Growth 5 Years: 3.8% Holdings: 107 Beta: 0.58 INCOME GROWTH 2017 - $91,556.12 2018 - $132,548.54 .. +44.7% 2019 - $174,588.90 .. +31.7% 2020 - $213,374.56 .. +22.2% 2021 - $257,279.04 .. +20.5% ---------------------------------------------- Percentages below do not include CEF's or ETF's. UTILITIES: 28% of portfolio value NEE ...... $177,966 ... 1.90% yield SO ........ $175,627 ... 3.49% XEL ...... $167,798 ... 2.61% SRE ..... $159,957 ... 2.79% DUK ..... $150,594 ... 3.70% WEC .... $136,359 ... 2.79% AEP ..... $91,890 ..... 3.08% BIPC .... $79,780 .... 3.02% LNT ..... $73,105 ..... 2.77% AQN ... $62,293 ...... 5.00% CNP .... $42,200 ..... 2.26% D ......... $40,514 ..... 3.27% BEP .... $30,701 ..... 3.21% CONSUMER STAPLES: 18% of portfolio value PG ....... $150,217 ... 2.51% yield PEP ..... $140,424 ... 2.63% KMB ..... $135,568 ... 3.45% KO ....... $134,775 ... 2.78% MO ....... $98,744 ..... 7.98% GIS ...... $93,310 ..... 2.81% UL ........ $74,286 ..... 3.89% BTI ....... $39,925 ..... 7.04% SJM ..... $39,533 ...... 3.08% MDLZ .. $20,444 ...... 2.40% FINANCIALS: 13% of portfolio value TD ......... $118,896 .... 4.17% yield BMO ...... $99,460 ..... 4.25% PRU ...... $78,169 ..... 4.66% CM ........ $59,422 ..... 4.97% RY ......... $57,319 ..... 4.02% ORI ....... $35,944 ..... 3.95% MS ........ $34,817 ..... 3.44% BX ........ $30,433 ...... 4.84% ARES ... $28,587 ...... 3.07% ORCC .. $27,672 ...... 9.03% OCSL ... $25,169 ...... 9.51% HTGC ... $23,277 ..... 9.03% ARCC ... $23,099 ..... 8.44% REAL ESTATE: 10% of portfolio value O ........... $167,758 ... 4.02% yield WPC ..... $116,583 ... 4.89% VICI ...... $63,930 ..... 4.14% CCI ....... $51,517 ..... 3.29% ADC ..... $51,424 ..... 3.58% NTST ... $43,337 ..... 3.90% CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY: 10% of portfolio value GPC ....... $141,044 ... 2.29% yield HD ......... $111,538 .... 2.45% TGT ....... $77,677 ..... 2.55% LEG ....... $51,274 ..... 4.26% DHI ........ $31,559 ..... 1.14% TJX ........ $30,917 ..... 1.83% TSCO .... $21,244 ..... 1.89% NKE ....... $20,652 .... 1.07% HEALTHCARE: 9% of portfolio value ABBV ..... $151,457 ... 3.97% yield AMGN .... $97,850 ..... 3.12% JNJ ........ $69,865 ..... 2.70% ABT ....... $69,609 ..... 1.70% CVS ...... $35,294 ...... 2.11% ELV ....... $31,966 ...... 1.07% INDUSTRIALS: 4% of portfolio value LMT ... $106,784 ... 2.61% yield GD ..... $33,614 ..... 2.17% PH ..... $31,737 ..... 1.76% CMI ... $21,269 ..... 2.81% FDX ... $19,344 ..... 2.01% COMMUNICATIONS: 4% of portfolio value VZ ... $93,769 ... 5.72% yield TU .. $56,133 ... 4.51% T ..... $37,454 ... 6.15% INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY: 3% of portfolio value AVGO ... $56,179 ... 3.01% yield MSFT ... $49,080 ... 0.86% TXN ..... $31,314 .... 2.53% MA ....... $28,046 .... 0.56% ENERGY: 1% of portfolio value ENB ... $57,653 ... 6.03% yield MATERIALS: 1% of portfolio value APD ... $27,540 ... 2.45% --------------------------------------- CEF's and ETF's (high yield) -- Listed by Yield QYLD .... $39,641 ... 14.33% RYLD .... $45,195 ... 13.23% XYLD .... $45,228 ... 11.75% BSTZ .... $35,118 .... 10.26% BMEZ ... $35,118 .... 10.05% PTY ...... $50,449 .... 10.03% SPE ...... $35,881 .... 9.90% AIO ....... $55,012 .... 9.79% ETW ..... $17,975 .... 9.48% JEPI ..... $25,122 .... 9.46% ARDC ... $29,560 .... 8.92% IDE ....... $24,888 .... 8.91% EOS ..... $10,209 .... 8.66% ETY ..... $10,696 ..... 8.63% ASG .... $42,514 ..... 8.58% ETV ..... $11,379 ..... 8.54% IGA ...... $17,214 .... 8.50% NIE ...... $19,426 .... 8.50% IGD ..... $19,129 .... 8.50% TYG .... $33,401 .... 8.18% EXD .... $31,586 .... 8.05% BST .... $42,958 .... 7.93% EOI ..... $10,406 .... 7.78% BGY ... $18,787 .... 7.64% ETO ... $51,780 .... 7.47% EVT ... $34,898 .... 7.46% BDJ ... $31,586 .... 7.01% UTG ... $155,953 .. 6.91% DNP ... $49,422 .... 6.85% RFI .... $45,684 .... 6.17% BUI .... $30,676 .... 5.98% CII ..... $26,230 .... 5.92% BME .. $38,406 .... 5.83% EVN ... $28,665 ... 4.81% EIM .... $34,624 ... 4.46% AFB ... $28,509 ... 4.35% KTF ... $27,137 ... 4.29% ----------------------------------------- HIGHLIGHTS SINCE LAST REPORT: MDLZ increased the dividend by 10% CMI increased the dividend by 8.3% HTGC increased the dividend by 6.1% CNP increased the dividend by 5.9% OCSL increased the dividend by 3.0% SJM increased the dividend by 3.0% ARES increased the dividend by 2.4% DUK increased the dividend by 2.0%