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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Qone0 who wrote (72168)10/14/2022 12:01:43 PM
From: Sun Tzu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97958
 
>> Scott never trades the front month always a month or two out.

That is the conventional wisdom and I respect it. But I try to find valid technics that are not as widely followed so I don't have to compete with too many people.

>> It like the HOP.

Looking at the chart, it seems to like the HOP in the direction of trend, but not in the counter trend. Have you looked at this longer term?

Depending on where it bounces, you can probably deduce a medium term trend change.

>> I would probably use a scaling strategy with the micros.

Could you outline the strategy?



To: Qone0 who wrote (72168)10/16/2022 12:58:10 PM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation

Recommended By
ajtj99

  Respond to of 97958
 
Probability distribution of oil/WTIC making a trend reversal within 3 bars. Right now it is steady as she goes.



Now if you want bigger swings, then the same technique but use bigger larger timeframes.
Here's the daily and 3 day probability distributions on the same chart. The orange lines belong to 3D chart.



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