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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: rimshot who wrote (74307)2/28/2023 4:08:04 AM
From: rimshot4 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
catou1
skier31
Sun Tzu

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 98639
 
Scott's daily ROC-25 charts for each major index,
smoothed with two moving averages for the purposes of:

1. ROC-25 moving average crossover vigilance ( ROC stands for Rate of Change )
&
2. zero line crosses by either one of the two ROC moving averages are in a bullish location if above the ROC zero line
and
in a bearish location if below the ROC zero line ...

which are optimally both required to confirm the probable directional Staying Power of any future
upward or downward price action

* the ROC-25 smoothed with the 55-day EMA and also smoothed
with the 5-day EMA are pointing downward toward the ROC zero line
for all indices,
with the exception of the ROC-25 55-day smoothing for the
$COMPQ ROC-25, updated for Monday's February 27, 2023 close

stockcharts.com

stockcharts.com

stockcharts.com

stockcharts.com

stockcharts.com

* Note - veteran technicians consider the $VLE technicals as especially reliable for divining the US market direction

" The Rate-of-Change oscillator measures the speed at which prices are changing.
An upward surge in the Rate-of-Change reflects a sharp price advance.
A downward plunge indicates a steep price decline.
Sustained advances often start with a big surge out of the gate.

Subsequent advances are usually less sharp and this causes
a bearish divergence to form in the Rate-of-Change oscillator.

It is important to remember that prices are constantly increasing as long
as the Rate-of-Change remains positive. "

( RIP Scott Stringer, master student of the math aspect of price analysis )

complimentary chart -

stockcharts.com

shown above is a daily chart showing the cumulative version
of the McClellan Oscillator for the NYSE Common-Stocks-Only data set
which currently shows the cumulative McO pointing downward toward the cumulative McO zero line
and also below its rising 30-day simple moving average for a considerable # of trading days,

which represents a warning sign for the ongoing health status of the US equity market
and
is what I consider an item not to ignore, as Arthur Hill, CMT likes to say
for special warnings when they occur

Message #74307 from rimshot at 12/1/2022 9:21:39 AM

Scott's 233,1 EMA applied to the SPY daily closes chart -

stockcharts.com

( as stated in prior months, Scott is now deceased nearly two years )

Note - SPY price history is adjusted downward by the amount of each
SPY quarterly dividend, so the price history will not match what Fidelity or ThinkOrSwim charts display