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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (76129)1/27/2023 8:05:37 AM
From: Sun Tzu3 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
The Ox
towerdog

  Respond to of 97534
 
I agree completely. Below 1.80 is where I plan to fight the tape for natgas. Until then, it will be trend following.

My expectation for natgas is that a safe trend reversal won't happen until the monthly chart builds a base and flattens out. That is still a some time away - March at the earliest. But on the weekly basis, we could be having the makings of a bounce possibly as early as next week.

Nonetheless, given the volatility in NG, that can still be a 30% - 50% gain in two weeks.

One thing that I don't get is the relationship between front month NG and BOIL. I don't want to hold the futures since they make most of their moves while I am asleep.

Below is my cyclically adjusted monthly natgas futures. Bottoms are not reached until #1 the price is near the lower green line (and ideally below it), And #2 that lower green line starts edging up.




To: ajtj99 who wrote (76129)1/27/2023 3:00:48 PM
From: da_spot1 Recommendation

Recommended By
ajtj99

  Respond to of 97534
 
AJ, great to see that you are slowly but surely healing!

I thought this Milton Berg video was very good...price based with historical precedents. Enjoy!