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Pastimes : Ask Mohan about the Market -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cynic 2005 who wrote (14056)2/12/1998 5:25:00 PM
From: MythMan  Respond to of 18056
 
Just how influential is this guy? Certainly can't move stocks anymore <g>

Also in the news, the stock of Intel (INTC) shed
1/16 to 85 after influential Merrill Lynch analyst
Thomas Kurlak said the chip sector does not face an
imminent earnings recovery.



To: Cynic 2005 who wrote (14056)2/12/1998 6:00:00 PM
From: Amots  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 18056
 
Mohan.
We got LRCX upgrade this morning:
<<Lam Research (LRCX) 26 5/16: Sanford Bernstein ups its rating on equipment maker from "market perform"
to "outperform".....>>
So I can get more puts at better price.

And after the close:

<<Lam Research (LRCX) 28 1/2 +2 3/16: chip equipment maker is warning that it expects to record a fiscal 3Q
charge of $1.47 to $1.57 a share due to weaker product orders from Asia; also plans to cut jobs by as many as
700 positions in restructuring move; prior to warning, company was expected to earn $0.05 a share in the 3Q,
same as in the year-ago period.....>>

All I can say is thank you to Sanford Bernstein.
Amots



To: Cynic 2005 who wrote (14056)2/12/1998 7:38:00 PM
From: geewiz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18056
 
Hello all, nice to hear about somewhere warm Mohan,

On the wall next to my monitor I keep casual tabs on the announced lay-offs since November.

General Motors 40,000 over 3 years, closing 7 plants
Eastman Kodak 10,000 over 9 months
Levi 6,400
Silicon Graph 700
Kimberly Clark 5,000 closing one plant
Woolworths 9,200 closing remaining stores
Citycorp 9,000
Catapillar ?
Inter Paper 9,200 closing two plants
Fruit of loom 4,800 closing two plants
stanley works 4,500
Apple Comp 4,100
Raytheon 10,000

When I look at the list it's hard to imagine we have a shortage of skilled workers. At the very least there is an economic shift occurring of which we don't have a good understanding. Several months ago Business Week had an article on similar inconsistencies; I'll try the link, but it may have expired:

businessweek.com

In part it says "Even as demand remains strong, many companies are living through the experience of a profitless prosperity."

People don't understand the scope of this change, yet we all want to hope for the best, and I think that's being reflected in the rally. After all, if there is revenue growth, there must be profit growth!

If the market is really a discounting mechanism, either it failing this time, or the economy is going to pull through without a significant slowdown.

best, art