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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Wharf Rat who wrote (1391431)2/15/2023 2:02:14 PM
From: Tenchusatsu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1584067
 
Wharfie, let's just focus on that one chart showing the ever-increasing costs of natural disasters.

First of all, you can't do direct comparisons between figures from 1980 and figures from 2022, even if you account for inflation. As mentioned before, there is a marked increase in number of people living in densely populated areas. Seoul, Tokyo, Karachi, New Delhi, even New York City and Washington D.C. look much different today compared to 1980.

Second, that graph is awfully granular, and it's because the threshold of $20B is an artificially-chosen figure. What if we lowered it to $10B? What if we just got rid of the threshold altogether and just measured how much we spent on natural disaster recovery in terms of absolutely dollars instead of number of disasters that passed a certain threshold?

Third, this is a perfect example of correlation being confused with causation. The graph is obviously showing a trend that is up and to the right, and that is supposedly "proof" that the climate is changing. But the climate has always been changing. What part of that is due to greenhouse gas emissions?

In short, that graph is only meant for the "likes." It's value by itself isn't all that much, which is why you should expect the naysayers like golfer144 to respond with skepticism.

But yeah, if you present the data as part of an overall picture, THEN it has value. And even the fact that people are living in more densely populated areas shouldn't be used as an excuse for ignoring the issue.

Tenchusatsu