SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (196634)2/22/2023 7:01:19 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218660
 
:0) the post you responded to was done 2010, when I made the move, and since then, happy-happy

Now, the abode we moved out of has just been sold by wife Message 34198903 to whom I had gifted the home way back when, and my in-laws who have been living in it must move out. The abodes features are 1300 sft, full ocean view from all rooms except bathrooms, one long apartment in a 5-apartment bungalow

The youngsters who bought it aggregated the four apartments at 'market' price back in August, and unfortunately publicly announced that they would either buy or force-auction our apartment by end-year 2022. They thought they could do so by having purchased the other 4 apartments per their industrial real estate experience. They even shouted to the news papers back in August 2022 :0)

Alas, sadly, homes do not work the same way exactly as industrial property.

Bottom line, they were forced as opposed to they forced, and paying enough for wife to buy two apartments of the same feature-set to either left or right of the same location, what I call a win-win with us harvesting the redevelopment profit on our unit without redeveloping. I love HK and its property and tax laws.

The boyz were so enthusiastic about their project that they told the world how they, having bought 4 apartments of the 5, are going to build on great beautiful mansion on the prime prime spot. Problem, the force-auction law in HK only works on residential buildings if some factors are satisfied, namely

- building must be >50 years of age (ours is)

- in dilapidated condition (our building is fine)

- one must redevelop and put more units on the site than existing, and building one mansion in place of 5 apartments does not qualify) -- oops, judge, what to do?

In any case I did some math, and

- I bought the apartment in February 1999, and oz of gold was priced at ~$250, now, 24 years later, at $ 1,826, an 8.64% annualised capital gain

- the apartment achieved 9.36% capital-gains, not counting the 24 years of otherwise expensive rent-free living (thank goodness HK does not have capital gains tax)

- we were lucky to have caught the boyz short one apartment, for market-price transaction would have resulted in 50% of our actual take

- takeaway, gold is good, very extremely good, even though gold does not pay a yield

Note: I believe gold gained in overall purchasing value over the last 24 years and certainly over the last 18 years, as measured by university tuition

in 1999 @ ~$24K, and now $80K, 5.14% annualised increase

in 2004 (when coconut born Oct) @ $40K, and now $80K, 2.93% annualised increase
whereas

Gold did 8.64% per annum over 24-years, and 6.34% per annum over 18 years

Additional note: capital gains tax is theft, especially if used to support wars

I think the boyz shall make money doing the redevelopment, on the other 4 units they bought at market price, and might even make money on our now ex-unit if they can lift the eventual selling price of the intended mansion by some singular featuring of the overall ocean view etc etc

Accounting for attributable rent, ocean view might have kept pace with true / purchasing power inflation unless polluted by income tax issues, otherwise, and in the absence of capital gains, Gold beats ocean view, although ocean view is arguably a consumption item whereas Gold is sleeping capital

In any case it is better to have ocean-view + cash + gold than to HODL ocean-view alone at this juncture, I wager

in the meantime the Jack and coconut got a useful lesson
- never panic when the counterparty thinks they have you
- research
- put aside some gains into Gold, always



To: carranza2 who wrote (196634)2/23/2023 10:35:51 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Maurice Winn

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 218660
 
what we already known-know

that all fiats are cr@p as far as for savings go

zerohedge.com

Does Gold Really Preserve Purchasing Power? The Case Of The High-End Suit

Authored by Michael Maharrey via SchiffGold.com,

One of the characteristics of gold is that it preserves wealth in a world of constantly devaluing fiat currency.

Put another way, it preserves your purchasing power over time.

If you hold onto dollars for several years, they will buy less stuff at the end of that time period than they did at the beginning. This is especially true when we have rapidly rising prices as we do today. But even when inflation is “under control,” Federal Reserve policy is to devalue the dollar by 2% every year.

It simply doesn’t make sense to hold onto dollars for any length of time.

We can demonstrate this in a tangible way by pricing a good or service in gold and examining the change in price over time.

As an example, let’s consider a high-end men’s suit.

In 1900, the average price of a high-end men’s suit was around $35.

[url=][/url]

At the time, the price of gold was set at $20.67 per ounce. That means a high-end suit priced in gold would have cost around 1.7 ounces of gold.

[url=][/url]

Today, the average price of a high-end suit is around $2,000.

Obviously, prices vary depending on the brand, region and other factors, but this provides a fair average. At the time I’m writing this, the price of gold is around $1,840 an ounce. I’ll use $1,800 for this calculation to keep it simple. That means a high-end suit priced in gold today costs a little over 1.1 ounces of gold.

As you can see, the price of a suit in gold has dropped a little over 35% since 1900. This is what you would expect given advances in technology and productivity. But priced in dollars, the price of a high-end men’s suit has increased by 5,614.3%.

Looking at it another way, if you had stuffed $41.34 under your mattress in 1900, today you might be able to buy a couple of Polo shirts if you find a deal. But if you had bought two 1-ounce gold coins and stuffed those under your mattress in 1900, today you’d be able to buy a fancy suit and have about $1,600 left over.

Of course, the price of gold fluctuates day to day, month to month, and year to year. In some years, the price of gold even falls. But over time, it has historically maintained its purchasing power even as fiat currencies lose buying power year after year.

Added to the fact that it carries no counterparty risk, gold is an excellent way to safely preserve wealth and mitigate risk in your portfolio.



To: carranza2 who wrote (196634)3/6/2023 8:03:58 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218660
 
Following up to Message 34200103 this day shall meet with HK semi-governmental authority the Urban Renewal Council that earlier presented us with a redevelopment plan for industrial site in which I have some loft units Message 33460380

The authority must tell us their plan per requirement of law and pay market price +15% in case of forced-buy, or allow us by new protocol to tag to developer auction. Eminent domain is not for true capitalism with communist characteristics.

Essentially, for the old airport site 'they' wish to put up additional phase of ocean side promenade, residential, commercial and retail, to blend into the adjacent old airport redevelopments already underway en.wikipedia.org

Talents from PRC flooding in from north of our border, and they sport higher education degrees and earning sizeable salaries or working for selves.

Am bullish on Freedom Island HK.

Our site Newport Industrial phases I and II is a huge full ocean frontage low rise (4 storeys) etc etc site, cost basis HK$ 900 - 1,200 psf, and we are willing to sell one unit to de-risk the entirety of our holdings at say, big round numbers HK$ 10,000, and hold rest to tag w/ Urban Renewal's auction of site to developers to try to nail 20-30X depending on developer enthusiasm.

Believe such shall be anti-inflationary, anti-prospective sanction war, and anticipatory to stock market kibosh that could and might happen, and and and can be helpful to topping gold hoarding

Yes, unfortunately I was always somewhat agnostic about HK to the point of not 100% committed to HK. Oh well.

Remaining agnostic about gold.

After the meeting with the authorities shall lunch w/ wife and her two banker friends, to talk portfolio design / construction to help deploy her windfall by sale of my gift to her when getting married. Should be interesting, for wife IS NOT a trader but a HODL-er, and she likes yields with blue-sky potential. I figure NEM and FNV are must-have, but must ponder other wagers and think method / pace of deployment program.

I am feeling very productive these days even as not doing a heck of lot, just sitting in front of my computer. I believe gold should be a double between now and 2026, but in USD / HKD terms. Unsure about in other terms.


In the meantime must get sense of where the authorities intend to redevelop 10-15 years from today.

I am not particularly good at doing 2X in 12-months, but quire fair at doing 10X in 10-15 years, and on the outside, 20 years. Call me boring. I appreciate HK governmental authorities' transparency for it helps with the planning process.






shills out in force, better than crypto :0)