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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ggersh who wrote (196983)3/6/2023 6:27:34 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217541
 
Re <<explain>>

in the meantime, am told that Team USA does rug-pull on the brave freedom-loving Chinese of the Republic of China, having by Pelosi visit earlier triggered the loss of the middle line front in the Taiwan Strait of the East CHINA Sea to the People's Republic of China by exercise of wing-it-ism and made drone overflight a routine state of reality, and triggered the possibility of installation of anti-Nazi / anti-War drone factories in Belarus, that which some term Russia Near-Abroad, etc etc ... I think my source is mixing narratives and getting it all terribly tangled up.

I intend to ping and get it straighter of the latest narration.

Am further told that the issue with meeting President Tsai / renegade Tsai (depending on PoV) in California is that, simply put, Team China One China One China One China doesn't care whether such meetings take place on Taiwan Island of One China or happens in California, my source guessed, and the rug-pull by McCarthy does nothing to avoid China One China's ire, and loses out on opportunity to show the Team USA flag.

At the same time, the brave folks of Taiwan, the other China, is getting short-changed on Team USA weapons deliveries for the cupboard seems empty and munitions low.

I am disappointed that Tsai does not consider the population in the other 25+ provinces and anonymous administrative regions her responsibility ...

“We have a responsibility to our own people,” said one senior official. “The risk from Beijing is becoming greater by the day, but we have to manage this risk meticulously. Pushing the status quo backwards is not the way.”


ft.com

Speaker Kevin McCarthy to meet Taiwan’s president in US to avoid China’s ire

Two sides agree on California venue after Taipei raises concerns

4 hours ago
Tsai Ing-wen has decided to accept an invitation to speak at the Reagan Library in southern California, according to several people including a senior Taiwanese official © Sam Yeh/AFP/Getty ImagesTaiwan’s president Tsai Ing-wen has convinced US House Speaker Kevin McCarthy to meet in California rather than Taipei to avoid an aggressive Chinese military response, as tensions run high between Beijing and Washington.

Several people familiar with the situation said Tsai and McCarthy had agreed to meet in the US because of Taiwanese security concerns. The California Republican had said last summer he wanted to visit the country if elected to the top leadership post in the House.

The venue change comes as the US steps up contingency planning for the region — one of the world’s most dangerous flashpoints — and highlights the impact of China’s military posturing to constrain Taiwan and undermine its de facto independence.

Washington has been rife with speculation about whether McCarthy would visit Taipei. Advocates of a trip say senior US lawmakers should show support for the country in the face of rising Chinese aggression, while critics argue that high-profile visits provoke China without helping Taiwan.

A senior Taiwanese official said Tsai’s administration had provided McCarthy’s team with “some intelligence about what the Chinese Communist party is recently up to and the kinds of threats they pose”.

The official added that China was “not in a good situation”.

After McCarthy’s Democratic predecessor Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan in August — the first visit by a Speaker in 25 years — China’s People’s Liberation Army held huge military exercises, including firing ballistic missiles over the country for the first time.

“There might be policies even more irrational than in the past emanating from Beijing,” the Taiwanese official added. “If we can try to control this together, the risks it brings for everybody can be contained better.”

US officials have recently played down suggestions of an imminent Chinese attack on Taiwan, but the Biden administration is stepping up contingency planning with allies.

President Joe Biden has on four occasions over the past four years said the US would intervene if China launched an unprovoked attack on Taiwan.

Tsai will visit both California and New York in early April as part of a trip to Guatemala and Belize. She has also decided to accept an invitation to speak at the Reagan Library in southern California, according to several people familiar with the situation.

The Taiwanese president, whose term ends in May, also visited the Reagan Library in 2018 and made remarks but not a formal speech.

A second Taiwanese official said that after McCarthy expressed his view that Taiwan’s concerns about Beijing’s response were “reasonable”, Tsai’s team had said, “why don’t we take the opportunity of the stopover [in the US] to meet”.

McCarthy’s office declined to comment and the Chinese embassy in Washington did not respond to a request for comment. The Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation and Institute confirmed that it had invited Tsai to speak.

The People’s Republic of China claims Taiwan as its territory although it has never ruled the island.

Eric Sayers, an Asia expert at the American Enterprise Institute, said the best way for McCarthy to support Taiwan was to meet her in the US.

“This will accomplish McCarthy’s objective of elevating the issue and demonstrating he is willing to meet her, but the nature of the meeting physically happening in the US instead of Taiwan will also make it more difficult for Beijing to respond in the same provocative way like they did after the Pelosi visit,” he said.

Some observers believe another high-profile visit to the US by Tsai could invoke just as much Chinese retaliation as a McCarthy visit. But Tsai’s aides argue that Taipei must not allow Chinese coercion to succeed.

“We have a responsibility to our own people,” said one senior official. “The risk from Beijing is becoming greater by the day, but we have to manage this risk meticulously. Pushing the status quo backwards is not the way.”

Another person familiar with the Tsai administration’s handling of the matter said renewed Chinese exercises around Taiwan could cause disruption to international shipping routes that would weigh on the global economy just as it emerges from the shadows of the pandemic.

Taiwanese defence minister Chiu Kuo-cheng warned on Monday that the PLA was “looking for pretexts like foreign senior officials visiting or us conducting military exchanges with other countries” to take more assertive action.

During the crisis last year, PLA ships and aircraft stopped short of entering Taiwan’s contiguous zone, a 24-nautical mile area off the coast. But Chiu said there was a significant risk they would stage “sudden incursions” into the zone, or even Taiwan’s sovereign waters or airspace, if given a pretext.

Follow Kathrin Hille and Demetri Sevastopulo on Twitter



To: ggersh who wrote (196983)3/6/2023 6:45:48 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217541
 
Re <<explain>>

am told that can discount the numbers of F35s Message 33990144 because they are faulty and useless, and fits no strategy against any peer / near-peer, and that should F22 be also outmatched, best to rethink the entire possible set of scenario spectrum

waiting to see how the pentagon explain obsolescence of army, navy and airforce all at one go after expenditure of so much from the treasury

asia.nikkei.com

China's stealth fighter inventory set to eclipse America's F-22s

Military Balance database says Beijing has 150 J-20A aircraft and growing fast



A Chinese J-20 stealth fighter jet performs at an air show in Guangdong province in November. © China Daily via Reuters
KEN MORIYASU, Nikkei Asia diplomatic correspondentFebruary 15, 2023 23:56 JST

TOKYO -- China is outpacing the U.S. in the production of stealth fighters, with the inventory of its most advanced J-20A overtaking that of the U.S. Air Force's F-22 Raptor as soon as this year, the head of the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies said Wednesday.

John Chipman, director-general and chief executive of IISS, told reporters at an online launch event for The Military Balance 2023 that China's combat aircraft inventory has been transformed over the past five years.

Chipman said that The Military Balance database now shows over 150 J-20A fighters. Though the U.S. is also increasing the number of its fifth-generation F-35As, and these now total around 360, "The pace of China's defense industrial output means it is catching up," he said.

"Indeed, if deliveries continue at the same speed, in 2023 the number of J-20As will eclipse the inventory of the U.S. Air Force's other fifth-generation combat aircraft, the F-22," Chipman said.

The F-22, the first-ever fifth-generation fighter to enter service, was long considered the most advanced American fighter. The plane is banned from export because its technology was deemed too advanced to land in the hands of another country.

The F-22 is no longer in production due to its high cost, and the U.S. has shifted its resources to the F-35s, which are considered more affordable and versatile. Yet the F-22 is expected to serve into the 2030s, offering the Air Force air superiority.

The J-20 is China's first fifth-generation fighter and was designed to rival the F-22.

A
U.S. F-22 Raptor based out of Qatar is seen during a combat patrol mission over an undisclosed location in southwest Asia. © U.S. Air Force handout via Reuters

The Military Balance noted that China's 7% nominal increase in the 2022 defense budget represents a roughly $16 billion boost for the People's Liberation Army and its largest annual increase in absolute terms.

"These funds are enabling the PLA's continued modernization," it said, including the addition of aircraft carriers, more complex frigates and destroyers as well as a new, longer-range submarine-launched ballistic missile, the JL-3.

The JL-3 could let the PLA Navy target the U.S. from longer ranges than before, giving it options to enhance the survivability of its deterrent, The Military Balance said.

Analysts have noted that if the JL-3 were to have a significantly longer range than China's current JL-2 missiles, then Beijing could keep its ballistic missile submarines in the South China Sea and target the U.S. from there, rather than having to move into the Pacific Ocean.

Chipman said the Ukraine war has highlighted the importance of weapons stocks and defense production capacity.

"Immediate equipment requirements have led some European states to look to new suppliers beyond domestic or traditional sources," Chipman said. Poland split its orders for tanks and rocket artillery between U.S. and South Korean firms, he said.

The Military Balance described South Korea as having arguably "the region's most significant industrial success in 2022." It noted the framework agreements for the sale to Poland of 1,000 K2 main battle tanks, 672 K9 self-propelled howitzers and 48 FA-50 light combat aircraft.

"The agreements between Poland and [South] Korea represent by some distance the largest defense export deal secured by an Asian country," it said.

The Ukraine war is also changing the European defense landscape in another way, Chipman noted.

"The supply to Ukraine of older, Soviet-era equipment by East European states is accelerating the modernization of these countries' inventories, as they reequip with Western-made systems. It is also creating opportunities to improve equipment commonality in Europe," he said.

Meanwhile, Chipman said that weak currencies, sluggish economic growth, ongoing supply chain disruptions and soaring inflation have hampered countries' ability to acquire their desired defense capabilities, despite the heightened tensions.

"While global defense expenditure grew in nominal terms in 2021 and 2022, higher inflation meant that expenditure fell in real terms in both years. We estimate that in 2022, inflation wiped some $312 billion of global defense expenditure," Chipman said.

Regarding India, The Military Balance said the country continues to modernize its armed forces and that New Delhi is looking to improve military infrastructure on its northern border.

It noted that in 2022, concerns were raised over India's dependence on Russia for weapons and spare parts, after Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

"Recent imports of foreign equipment have primarily been from the U.S. and France," it said.

But India's large conventional forces are troubled by inadequate logistics and shortages of ammunition, spare parts and maintenance personnel, the report said. "Though modernization continues, many equipment projects have seen delays and cost overruns, particularly indigenous systems."



To: ggersh who wrote (196983)3/6/2023 7:05:23 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation

Recommended By
ggersh

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217541
 
Re <<explain>>

coincidences, doubtless, that Scholz visited China for 8 hours, USA charges China with merely thinking about arming the Russians, China denies thinking anything, Kevin McCarthy stops plan to visit China, Republic of, and China, People's Republic, does what China was doing, namely nothing, and Scholz-y and Biden certain that China will not arm Russia



zerohedge.com

Germany's Scholz Signals 'Assurances' That China Won't Arm Russia

Authored by Dave DeCamp via AntiWar.com,

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz said Sunday that China "declared" it will not provide Russia with weapons for its war in Ukraine despite US claims, signaling that the German leader received some sort of assurance from Beijing.

"We all agree that there should be no arms deliveries, and the Chinese government has declared that it will not deliver any either," Scholz said at a press conference with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, according to POLITICO. "We insist on this, and we are monitoring it."

Image source: dpa/picture alliance

Von der Leyen said that the US has provided "no evidence" to back up its assertion that China is considering arming Russia. "So far, we have no evidence of this, but we have to observe it every day," she said.

While making the accusation, US officials have also signaled they don’t have evidence to back it up. When asked on Thursday how serious China is about arming Russia, National Security Council spokesman John Kirby replied, "We actually don’t know the answer to that question." Kirby and other US officials have said they’ve seen no evidence that China has already sent weapons.

The US started making the accusation before China presented a 12-point peace plan to end the war in Ukraine, a proposal Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky expressed openness to but was rejected by President Biden. Beijing also recently told the UN General Assembly that sending weapons to be used in the Ukraine war would prolong the conflict.

After making the claim, the US started pushing its allies to pledge to join in on sanctions against China if it does start arming Russia. In an interview that aired Sunday, Scholz said there would be "consequences" for Beijing if it shipped weapons for Russia’s use in the war.

On Friday, Scholz met with President Biden in Washington DC. According to a White House readout of the meeting, the two leaders "reiterated their commitment to impose costs on Russia for its aggression for as long as necessary." Scholz and Biden only offered brief remarks to the press before their meeting and did not hold the customary joint press conference afterward.

The last time Scholz was in Washington and held a joint press conference with Biden was on February 7, 2022. At the press conference, President Biden vowed to "bring an end" to the Nord Stream 2 pipeline if Russia invaded Ukraine. A recent report from investigative journalist Seymour Hersh alleged that the Biden administration was already plotting to bomb both Nord Stream pipelines.