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Gold/Mining/Energy : Crystallex (KRY) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: viper who wrote (5249)2/13/1998 2:51:00 PM
From: William Peavey  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 10836
 
Viper,

I am curious about your intermittent use of the pronoun "we" in referring to yourself and your positions in Crystallex.

Is that an extravagant editorial we, just you and your wife, or are we to infer that you are speaking for a vast shorting syndicate?

You see, you haven't been particularly forthright in providing details in your SI personal profile. Such can add immeasurably to your credibility.

Bill Peavey



To: viper who wrote (5249)2/13/1998 2:54:00 PM
From: charred  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10836
 
Hello to all. I have not been able to follow this thread for the past few days. There has been some talk of this Carson guy. He said there were rumors of a takeout at $23US and Funk rejected it. That is a joke. It was only a rumor. Lets look at what Carson is saying.

Today's market cap at $8US X 35,000,000 shares = $280,000,000US.
Buyout at $23US X 35,000,000 shares = $805,000,000US

What I am trying to do is to figure out what would be the buyout price if KRY wins the concessions. I going to use the Barrick takeover of Arequipa Resources as an example and a base to help me figure out the buyout price.

Two years ago Piernia was bought out for $700,000,000US

LC = 10 million ounces

Piernia = 7 million ounces

LC = Capital Cost = 600,000,000

Piernia = Capital Cost = 200,000,000 difference $400,000,000

Production Costs per ounce at LC = $205 per ounce

Production Costs per ounce at Piernia = $50 per ounce.

Therefore Placer is offering KRY $80US per minable ounce. With production costs at $205US, 600,000,000 million capital costs and $800,000,000 takeover I can't see it. If any company is going to takeover KRY it will cost them in the near term $1.4 billion US. Big bucks. With the current low gold price there is no chance. There will probably be a JV with Barrick which isn't bad.

As the above numbers show Piernia is a better mine. Barrick's takeover with capital costs were about $900,000,000US. In today's market a buyout could between $400 to $500 million, $10 to $13US per share. Still that is pretty high. Therefore we should be careful what Carson says. After reading the July 4th news from him I get the impression that everything he says is based on rumors.

His Feb13th was even worst. He personally attacked the President of the CVG with his own opinion of him. He not reporting facts but his personal opinion. It is obvious this guy doesn't know what is good for that country and knows shit about the mining industry. "Placer Dome is History" What kind of statement is that. If the stock is going up because of his rumors BE CAREFUL.