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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (198425)4/25/2023 10:03:36 PM
From: sense  Respond to of 218068
 
Assuming votes are decided on the basis of posturing re "social identity" rather than... actual self interest... ?

But, also assuming the numbers in a poll of 2600 people they cherry picked to give them the answer that they got... is remotely close to accurate... (that from another poll I'd looked at today... not sure what the numbers were in this one... but, "the design" and "the execution" of a poll mattering, still.)

They deliberately over-sampled... who... how ?

Polls, these days, don't tend to be conducted in "good faith"... any more than any other effort made in attempting to impose bias in information flows... medium vs message, again... with the voters in Florida probably not really caring a whit what that poll says... ?

That 7%... or whatever... also likely to do more to motivate that larger fraction in the 93%... who are concerned about it... than to motivate the 7% finding themselves being "popular" with the self-appointed "in" crowd... of maybe 20-some odd percent of the population...

Elections don't hinge on the fringe or fringe issues... but on the "independent" voters and their concerns...

And, then... the "identity' versus "interest" issue... is largely one decided on the basis of timing and "events"... and in the result of impacts of policy that result in delivering what they do in "its the economy, stupid"...

"It's the bias, stupid"... runs into real limits in how much of it people think they can actually afford... when what they can afford suddenly starts shrinking...

Information wars... probably not going to be decided on that basis, either... as even "signing on" to gender confusion probably does relatively little to alter your perception of the shrinking utility of the balance in your checkbook... because the Fed is more concerned with gender equity than meeting economic goals.

I think the next election is ripe for "surprises"... given the reality is as misrepresented as it is...

I don't have much of a finger on the pulse of those things, now...

But, I'd guess the nature of "change" occurring at Twitter, now, might provide some insight...

The 20% claiming to be the majority... or claiming to own the souls of the majority along with control over their access to information... probably not who you should trust in "telling you how it is" ?