To: Vattila who wrote (49713 ) 5/2/2023 5:31:29 PM From: Vattila Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 72186 AMD 2023-Q1 EPS Contest (non-GAAP) — Results Reported Results: $0.60 $5.35B $5.30B ± 0.30B Rank User EPS Revenue Outlook 1 rzborusa $0.60 $5.40B $5.60B 2 Vattila $0.61 $5.50B $5.70B 3 Kelvin C.P. Wang $0.61 $5.50B $5.90B 4 Pravin Kamdar $0.58 $5.40B $5.80B 5 neolib $0.62 $5.55B $5.75B 6 Joe NYC $0.57 $5.30B $5.90B - Zacks Estimate $0.56 $5.30B $5.47B - Bing Chat $0.55 $5.40B $5.70B
Congratulations to Rzborusa on the bullseye win! Second and third places go to me and Kelvin, respectively, with me ahead only with the lower outlook tiebreaker. Sadly, the outlook didn't live up to our high expectations. But, as a consolation, we all beat the analysts and AI on the EPS for the quarter! For the leaderboard scores, where all categories have equal weight, Zacks has us all beaten, although Rzborusa is close behind. Bing Chat did well with third place, closely followed by Pravin and me. Thanks to all for playing! ---Scoreboards Note that, unlike the main EPS Contest, which is primarily ranked by EPS, these boards are ranked by overall score, which is an equally weighted average of subscores. Scores are calculated as (1+error)^-2 per quarter and normalized for the year by sum(scores)/4. The squaring of the denominator in the score calculation is just done to spread out the scores a little. There is no explicit relative weighting of EPS and revenue error, i.e. a 1 cent error in EPS equals a $10M error in revenue.AMD 2023 EPS Contest Scores 2023 Leaderboard Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 1 0.23 0.23 0.18 0.2135 1 rzborusa 1 0.25 0.23 0.15 0.2082 - Bing Chat 1 0.23 0.23 0.13 0.1937 2 Pravin Kamdar 1 0.24 0.23 0.11 0.1927 3 Vattila 1 0.25 0.19 0.13 0.1872 4 Joe NYC 1 0.24 0.23 0.10 0.1867 5 neolib 1 0.24 0.17 0.12 0.1776 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.25 0.19 0.10 0.1773 2023 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 1 0.92 0.91 0.73 0.8540 1 rzborusa 1 1.00 0.91 0.59 0.8329 - Bing Chat 1 0.91 0.91 0.51 0.7748 2 Pravin Kamdar 1 0.96 0.91 0.44 0.7709 3 Vattila 1 0.98 0.76 0.51 0.7489 4 Joe NYC 1 0.94 0.91 0.39 0.7468 5 neolib 1 0.96 0.69 0.48 0.7104 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.98 0.76 0.39 0.7090
AMD 2022 EPS Contest Scores 2022 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.92 0.83 0.62 0.7895 1 Joe NYC 4 0.82 0.72 0.75 0.7618 2 neolib 4 0.90 0.73 0.65 0.7617 3 Vattila 4 0.87 0.84 0.51 0.7390 4 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.7371 5 rzborusa 4 0.81 0.73 0.56 0.7020 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.84 0.75 0.48 0.6925 7 gvatty 2 0.48 0.38 0.30 0.3848 8 fastpathguru 1 0.15 0.10 0.06 0.1038 2022 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.92 0.83 0.62 0.7895 1 gvatty 2 0.95 0.75 0.60 0.7696 2 Joe NYC 4 0.82 0.72 0.75 0.7618 3 neolib 4 0.90 0.73 0.65 0.7617 4 Vattila 4 0.87 0.84 0.51 0.7390 5 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.7371 6 rzborusa 4 0.81 0.73 0.56 0.7020 7 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.84 0.75 0.48 0.6925 8 fastpathguru 1 0.59 0.42 0.24 0.4153
AMD 2021 EPS Contest Scores 2021 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.93 0.86 0.72 0.8397 2 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.88 0.69 0.8367 3 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.78 0.70 0.8105 4 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.93 0.75 0.75 0.8101 5 gvatty 4 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.8068 6 Vattila 4 0.92 0.77 0.71 0.7966 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.83 0.65 0.53 0.6694 7 neolib 3 0.71 0.66 0.61 0.6614 8 engineer 1 0.24 0.18 0.21 0.2111 9 fastpathguru 1 0.23 0.18 0.15 0.1852 10 eetnoyer 1 0.20 0.17 0.10 0.1556 2021 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 neolib 3 0.95 0.88 0.82 0.8819 2 engineer 1 0.96 0.73 0.84 0.8445 3 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.93 0.86 0.72 0.8397 4 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.88 0.69 0.8367 5 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.78 0.70 0.8105 6 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.93 0.75 0.75 0.8101 7 gvatty 4 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.8068 8 Vattila 4 0.92 0.77 0.71 0.7966 9 fastpathguru 1 0.92 0.71 0.59 0.7408 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.83 0.65 0.53 0.6694 10 eetnoyer 1 0.78 0.68 0.40 0.6222
AMD 2020 EPS Contest Scores 2020 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 2 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 3 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.72 0.62 0.50 0.6128 4 rzborusa 3 0.69 0.57 0.47 0.5812 5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.24 0.23 0.17 0.2150 6 jc474 1 0.23 0.19 0.19 0.2020 2020 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.96 0.92 0.69 0.8601 2 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.96 0.83 0.66 0.8171 3 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 4 jc474 1 0.92 0.74 0.76 0.8080 5 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 6 rzborusa 3 0.93 0.76 0.63 0.7749
AMD 2019 EPS Contest Scores 2019 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.9708 1 Vattila 4 0.98 0.96 0.84 0.9264 2 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.98 0.95 0.84 0.9258 3 rzborusa 3 0.73 0.70 0.70 0.7106 4 neolib 3 0.73 0.72 0.65 0.6977 5 knykny 2 0.49 0.46 0.40 0.4496 6 gzubeck 2 0.46 0.37 0.32 0.3822 7 THE WATSONYOUTH 1 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.2468 8 FUBHO 1 0.21 0.20 0.25 0.2199 9 Harvey Allen 1 0.20 0.17 0.25 0.2058 2019 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 THE WATSONYOUTH 1 1.00 0.96 1.00 0.9871 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.9708 2 rzborusa 3 0.97 0.93 0.94 0.9475 3 neolib 3 0.97 0.96 0.87 0.9303 4 Vattila 4 0.98 0.96 0.84 0.9264 5 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.98 0.95 0.84 0.9258 6 knykny 2 0.97 0.93 0.80 0.8991 7 FUBHO 1 0.84 0.80 1.00 0.8796 8 Harvey Allen 1 0.80 0.67 1.00 0.8230 9 gzubeck 2 0.92 0.73 0.64 0.7643