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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Liatris Spicata who wrote (14089)2/13/1998 11:01:00 PM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
May I suggest a utilities fund--with not
much effort you can trade in and out very
infrequently and still ensure that you do
twice as well as cash. I personally have a
natural gas utilities fund--I think it may
do well in the next 12 months if energy
prices move up* (war with Iraq would do that)
demand for energy moves up (forecast is for
neutral or La-Nina/colder winter next year)
and last, companies buying back their stock
(by reducing payouts, which apparently
nobody wants anymore due cap gain rate).

(* why suppliers of gas would make more
if energy prices rise was not intuitive
to me when I read the annual summary.
It still is not, but I'll trust fidelity
on that one...it may have something to
do with the fact that cost increases
get passed on to consumers, while many
of the companies the fund holds generally
benefit when prices are rising).

Anyway, that is essentially I am doing
with some of what I would otherwise have
in savings. As always, if my thinking
is bad, I appreciate criticism.



To: Liatris Spicata who wrote (14089)2/14/1998 11:26:00 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
Larry if you want to dable in futures just buy food/grain related futures for the long term they will do fine well above inflation.

Meat consumption is growing and you need around 2.5 pound of grains for one pound of meet IMHO.

The rollover will be a problem as will be the margin requirements from time to time.

Aside from that, money market funds with a 2.5% to 3% spread above inflation is nothing to sneeze at.

Equities it's time to cash out you may leave some on the table, but so what??

BWDIK

Haim



To: Liatris Spicata who wrote (14089)2/16/1998 5:56:00 AM
From: William H Huebl  Respond to of 94695
 
Larry,

My bad experience with futures 20 years ago has left a bad taste in my mouth that still hasn't gone away....

The wealthiest co-oworker at my level I know made all his money in utilities... pick a good utility fund and forget your money... had I the benefit of time on my side, that is what I would do now!

Bill