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Technology Stocks : LSI Corporation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: E. Graphs who wrote (9788)2/15/1998 1:18:00 AM
From: shane forbes  Respond to of 25814
 
E

LSI's non-PC-DVD basket is make of paper and not sticks I'm afraid.

It's going to be a tough sell overall. But China does present interesting possibilities. If LSI can get half of that 20 million they would probably be doing around 100-150 million in business there alone.

I like LSI's proactive behavior though. A good indicator. LSI has spent a huge chunk of R&D money on DVD. I'm sure they'd like to recoup that investment instead of seeing it go do the toilet.

[As pointed out to someone in an earlier post R&D does not return a guaranteed sales per dollar spent. Heck maybe not at all relevant but I noticed that AMD and LSI were the stocks that peaked the earliest among the Value Line listing of semi-stocks. And AMD spends close to 20% on R&D. LSI is around 16%. Not a short term indicator of high R&D = bad, instead slowing sales = R&D is a high %ge = bad.]

Those Infrastructure guys' arguments do look familiar!

Any way I remember them saying in early 1996 that things would not be bad and that prescient forecast turned out to be doggy-doo. Plus I also have seen other forecasts by them that have turned out wrong. MU dying was another one. Remaining negative on semi-equips in early-mid 1997 (I think) believing the rally was false was another one.

Like I said I'll wait out the semi-equip run. And if I have any guts short them if and when things look like they're turning.



To: E. Graphs who wrote (9788)2/16/1998 4:26:00 PM
From: Tony Viola  Respond to of 25814
 
E. re: "Very interesting article."

Carl Johnson, who wrote the article, was very bearish on Intel in early 1996 (as was Kurlak). He predicted INTC would go sideways or down. I and a few other Intel bulls went toe to toe with him on the Intel thread until he disappeared. INTC didn't go sideways or down. Instead, it almost quadrupled.

Suprised to still see him around. But, then, so's Kurlak and Klauer.

Tony