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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (199673)6/20/2023 7:02:50 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217501
 
Re <<Old news>>

my understanding of the significance of the news is not that China's thorium reactor is the first larger-scale reactor (it is, albeit not absolute first, for there were a few little-r ones also experimental in nature), but that it is the first pilot of if-successful-then-to-be-industrial-serialize-produced-first-across-China , then, presumably to be trundled out and along the Belt & Road domains to replace small thermal coal plants, IOW the scale of the initiative is what matters, as was the case with wind, solar, EV, and 5G.

IOW, thorium reactor is somehow strategic to China and treated as such, along side above listed wind, solar, EV, and 5G. france24.com
Why China is developing a game-changing thorium-fuelled nuclear reactor
China is poised to test a thorium-powered nuclear reactor in September, the world’s first since 1969. The theory is that this new molten-salt technology will be “safer” and “greener” than regular uranium reactors, and so could help Beijing meet its climate goals. Yet is the country's investment in this also geostrategic?

en.wikipedia.org lots of folks working on thorium plants ... Canada, China, Germany (1980s), India, Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Norway, UK, and US.

Russia has an experimental thorium plant, but Russia up to now had no inclination to scale up the effort and offer to install such all across the planet.

USA has an experimental thorium plant, but USA prefers to export natural gas, and in any case seems shy about BBB such plants across own landscape.

IOW, thorium plants in the hands of Russia and USA, Canada, Israel, or wherever is almost a near-waste-of-time-effort, due to (i) no home-market scale, and/or no home-market support.

Tritium might or not be an issue, solvable am sure, but time shall tell as China fires up its plant.

The less solvable issue at this juncture might be as Wired points out, but an issue that China has no issue with wired.com
The Nuclear Reactors of the Future Have a Russia Problem
Next-generation nuclear plants could be safer and more efficient, but first the US has to figure out how to fuel them up—without relying on Russia.

... is what am told.

My takeaway, having a reception-ready and well-supported domestic market is often times much more important than just and only a good-idea; and roaring-to-go-go-go manufacturing-ready industrial scale also matters. IOW, whatever the technology, am much more enthusiastic if China backs it due to genuine imperatives looking for solutions.




“The scale of China is much greater than anywhere else,” Mr. Bell said.

wsj.com
Trump’s Tech Battle With China Roils Bill Gates Nuclear Venture

Recent policy change at Energy Department sidelines TerraPower’s effort to make reactors smaller, cheaper and safer

Jay Greene
Jan. 1, 2019 at 11:36 am ET


Add Bill Gates to the list of executives whose businesses have been ensnared by the Trump administration’s battle with China over technology and trade.

The tech tycoon and philanthropist said in an essay posted late last week that a nuclear-energy project in China by a company he co-founded called TerraPower LLC is now unlikely to proceed because of recent changes in U.S. policy toward China. That leaves TerraPower, which had been working on the China project for more than three years, scrambling for a new partner and uncertain where it might be able to run a pilot of the nuclear reactor it has been developing, according to company officials.

Mr. Gates, TerraPower’s chairman, helped start and fund the Bellevue, Wash., company, which incorporated in 2008, in a long-term bid to make nuclear reactors smaller, less expensive and safer than current nuclear energy sources. The company has been developing something called a traveling-wave reactor, which uses depleted uranium as fuel, something that TerraPower says can improve safety and reduce costs.

Regulatory restrictions and limited federal funding made building the facility in the U.S. difficult and led TerraPower to look for partners abroad, Chief Executive Chris Levesque said in an interview. TerraPower signed a deal in 2015 with state-owned China National Nuclear Corp. to develop the technology, and, in 2017, agreed to build a demonstration reactor to test the technology in Cangzhou, about 130 miles south of Beijing. The project was to be the first demonstration of TerraPower’s technology.



The Energy Department, led by Rick Perry, announced rules in October that require a high degree of assurance that nuclear technology wouldn’t be used for military or other unauthorized purposes. Photo: Maxym Marusenko/NurPhoto/Zuma Press

But the Energy Department announced new rules in October that, while not banning all nuclear deals with China, require a high degree of assurance that the technology wouldn’t be used for military or other unauthorized purposes. At the time, Energy Secretary Rick Perry cited national-security concerns about China obtaining nuclear energy “outside of established processes of U.S.-China civil nuclear cooperation.”

The policy change was part of an effort by the Trump administration to thwart China’s pursuit of critical U.S. technology, and came amid a broader trade battle between the two economic giants. The administration has placed tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese imports, from computer chips to seafood to bicycles, and has threatened to increase levies by March 1 unless it can strike a new trade deal with Beijing.

TerraPower, which has 180 employees, was counting on the China pilot to validate technology it has been working on for more than a decade. The company now is trying to figure out its options, Mr. Levesque said. “We’re regrouping,” he said. “Maybe we can find another partner.”

The Energy Department is also encouraging TerraPower to look beyond China. The agency “sees opportunities for global exports of this technology to nations who seek to develop their own civilian nuclear-power programs for peaceful purposes,” department spokeswoman Shaylyn Hynes said.

Finding another partner won’t be easy. The cost of developing a demonstration reactor is roughly $1 billion, Mr. Levesque said. That price tag limits potential partners to wealthy nations that are already funding nuclear energy. Those countries also need to have agreements with the U.S. government that permits the sort of partnership that TerraPower has with China.

The United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Turkey could be options down the road, said Randolph Bell, director of the Global Energy Center at the Atlantic Council, a nonpartisan think tank in Washington. But China’s national mission to develop nuclear energy as well as the massive size of its market make it difficult to replace, he said.

“The scale of China is much greater than anywhere else,” Mr. Bell said.

The threat of intellectual-property theft in China is real, Mr. Bell said. But the new U.S. policy—and the lack of a national consensus to develop domestic advanced nuclear-power sources—limits American companies’ avenues for developing nuclear-energy advances and risks leaving China to develop the next generation of such technology on its own, he said.

Mr. Gates, in a year-end essay posted on his personal website on Saturday, said TerraPower might be able to build its nuclear-reactor pilot project in the U.S., but only if there are changes to regulation. The Microsoft Corp. co-founder said he intends to advocate for those changes in 2019 because he sees nuclear power as “the only carbon-free, scalable energy source that’s available 24 hours a day.”

“The world needs to be working on lots of solutions to stop climate change,” he wrote. “Advanced nuclear is one, and I hope to persuade U.S. leaders to get into the game.”



To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (199673)6/20/2023 7:15:40 PM
From: TobagoJack1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Julius Wong

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 217501
 
On another front, far away from Ukraine and Taiwan, Israel, Germany, France, Cuba, US, UK, and and and, China is making all sorts of mistakes, in rapid succession, and struggles onward, out of necessity to reach solution(s) due to imperatives, and well-backed by the authorities dispensing moolah

My understanding is that the Russians have signed on to cooperate, which makes it an imperative the the Europeans do exactly the same, cooperate

asiatimes.com

China’s EAST breakthroughs shorten path to fusion power

China’s Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak achieves yet another fusion milestone with new ‘Super-I mode’ discovery

May 11th 2023

This is the first installment of a three part series.

Thanks in large part to the accomplishments of the Experimental Advanced Superconducting Tokamak (EAST), China has propelled itself to the forefront of international research on magnetic confinement fusion.

Utilizing powerful magnetic fields to confine a hot plasma inside its toroidal vacuum chamber, the Hefei-based EAST reactor is able to operate routinely at temperatures in the range of those required for fusion with a deuterium-tritium fuel.

Needless to say, keeping a 100 million C° plasma “in a bottle” for a significant amount of time is extraordinarily difficult. The most favored approach in fusion research to date is based on the so-called “tokamak” design, invented in the Soviet Union 70 years ago.

Until relatively recently, individual experiments with tokamaks have typically lasted only a fraction of a second, or at most a few seconds. Fusion scientists refer to them as “shots.” Increasing the confinement time is critical to realizing significant amounts of fusion energy by tokamak devices. Here EAST leads the world.

On April 12, 2023, EAST succeeded for the first time in maintaining a 100 million C° plasma for over six minutes in the dynamic state known as the “H-mode”, where “H” stands for “high confinement.” This specific plasma state has long been regarded as especially favorable to the stable confinement of plasmas in tokamak devices.

The giant International Toroidal Experimental Reactor (ITER), now under construction in France, is projected to operate in the “H-mode.” ITER claims to be the last step on the way to a prototype fusion power plant based on the tokamak design.

Earlier, on December 30, 2021, EAST had broken all previous records for confinement time, maintaining a plasma for over 17 minutes at a temperature in the same range.

This was accomplished partly thanks to the discovery of a hitherto unknown plasma state which Chinese scientists have called the “Super-I mode.” Conceivably the “Super-I mode” – or other modes that might be discovered in the future – may prove to be superior to the H-mode for the realization of fusion by tokamak devices.

Since going online in 2006, EAST has achieved one brilliant milestone after the other in addressing key technological and physics issues related to long-pulse operations.

While the EAST is not intended to generate large amounts of fusion reactions, it is contributing importantly to the international fusion effort, as well as to China’s project to build its own large-scale fusion reactor, the China Fusion Engineering Test Reactor (CFETR), which is now in the design stage.

Before going into more detail on EAST’s results, it is important to put them in the larger context of the epic struggle to realize fusion power with a continuously operating reactor.


China’s EAST reactor is turning in ground-breaking results. Image: Xinhua

Among the many different approaches to fusion power, one can usefully distinguish between systems that operate in a pulsed mode such as laser fusion and those in which the fusion reactions are maintained continuously.

In this article, I shall focus only on this second type, which at first glance would appears to be more suitable as a base-load commercial power source. Unfortunately, realizing continuous production of energy by fusion reactions poses prodigious challenges.

Among other things, the hot fusion plasma must be maintained in a stable dynamic state and prevented from coming into contact with the walls of the reactor vessel. Depending on the plasma’s density, such contact could instantly vaporize wall materials and quench the fusion reactions.

Here one should keep in mind that a fusion plasma, consisting of freely moving electrons and nuclei, is a vastly more complicated physical system than an ordinary gas in a bottle.

High-temperature plasmas are home to an enormous variety of different types of waves, oscillations and complex particle flows. In reacting to external fields, they can generate powerful internal electric currents, electric and magnetic fields; they emit electromagnetic radiation over a wide spectrum with resonance effects abound. Not least of all, they have a remarkable capability for self-organization, making them in some ways difficult to control.

A paradise for physicists, or a nightmare!

Important for our present topic is the fact that high-temperature plasmas are capable of quasi-stable “modes”, in which the patterns of fields and particle motions remain relatively constant. They are also capable, however, of wild, violent behavior which can cause serious damage to any device.

Our Sun, which consists of plasma with a core temperature estimated at 10 million degrees, is held together by gravitational forces. We could call the Sun and stars “gravitationally confined fusion reactors.”

The best and probably unique practical solution to confining a plasma on a sustained basis, on Earth, is to suspend it inside a vacuum chamber using powerful magnetic fields, a process known as magnetic confinement. Putting it extremely simply, the charged particles making up the plasma are caught up in the magnetic field lines.

The leading design for achieving sustained magnetic confinement of a plasma is the tokamak, invented in 1950 by Soviet physicists Andrei Sakharov and Igor Tamm.


The Soviet T-1 tokamak. Image: Wikipedia

Tokamaks are easily recognizable by their toroidally-shaped vacuum chamber surrounded by an array of magnetic coils that generate spiral-shaped magnetic field lines in the interior of the chamber.

Since the first experimental tokamak began operation in the Soviet Union in 1958, some 185 tokamaks have been built around the world, in many sizes and variations. Apart from the pursuit of fusion energy, tokamak experiments have played a large role in the development of plasma physics and thereby also astrophysics, given that 99% of matter in the universe is in the plasma state.

Despite an initial euphoria, maintaining a hot plasma for a significant amount of time in a steady, stable state using a tokamak proved to be far more difficult than expected. A 70-year-long struggle ensued. In this context, the self-organizing tendency of hot plasmas can be both a blessing and a curse.

On the positive side, self-organization appears to play an essential role in the formation of long-duration confinement regimes, as exemplified by the “H mode” and newly discovered “Super-I mode” in China’s EAST tokamak.

On the negative side, self-organizing processes also lie at the root of countless instabilities. On the astronomic scale, such instabilities are exemplified by solar flares and coronal mass ejections of our Sun.

Combined with the ability of plasmas to concentrate their energy, plasma instabilities can cause major damage to the device. In one famous case, the Tokamak de Fontenay-aux-Roses experienced a plasma disruption in which so-called “runaway electrons” burned a hole through the vacuum chamber.

In the course of an epic struggle, marked by the repeated emergence of new plasma instabilities and other unforeseen difficulties, the performance parameters of tokamak devices have gradually improved, up to the point that the realization of net thermal output from fusion reactions in a tokamak appears within reach.

The ITER, under construction in Cadarache, France, is projected to achieve this goal by around 2035. In fact, ITER is currently projected to achieve a “Q value” of at least 10, meaning that at least 10 times as much energy will be released by fusion reactions than is injected into the plasma by heating systems.

ITER itself is not designed to produce electricity but rather only to provide the final stepping stone on the way to the first prototype electric power plant, the “DEMO.”


ITER is only a halfway house to producing nuclear power. Image: ITER

In this context, it is important to stress that realizing Q > 10 may not be sufficient by itself to realize a viable electric power plant. Apart from cost, one must take into account not only the output/input ratio on the level of the plasma but also the electric power consumed by all the systems in the plant, taking large non-recoverable thermal losses and other factors into account.

It is very possible that ITER, taking advantage of ongoing results of China’s EAST and other experiments as well as good luck, might achieve far higher Q values, thereby boosting the prospects for a viable power plant based on ITER’s basic design.

It cannot be completely ruled out, on the other hand, that unforeseeable difficulties might prevent ITER from attaining its projected goals.