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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (200264)7/13/2023 1:14:14 AM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations

Recommended By
maceng2
Snowshoe

  Respond to of 218137
 
Mind-altering in a searing way

Gold porn …

kitco.com

A hoard of Civil War-era gold coins found in Kentucky cornfield
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( Kitco News) - One Kentucky man is basking in his good fortune after discovering a trove of Civil War-era gold bullion coins.

Photo fromGovMint.com

According to GovMint.com, the company selling the historic bullion, more than 700 gold coins dated between 1840 and 1863 were discovered buried in a cornfield earlier this year. The location of the "Great Kentucky Hoard" and the man who found the cache have not been revealed.The value of the cache has also not been disclosed, but one type of coin, an extremely rare 1863 $20 Gold Liberty Double Eagle coin, has in the past sold at auction for more than $100,000. Eighteen of these coins were part of the treasure trove.

The gold hoard also includes about 600 $1 gold coins and $10 and $20 Gold Liberty coins dating between 1854 and 1862.

"Each of the coins that are part of the Great Kentucky Hoard are struck in 90% gold at the Philadelphia, Denver, San Francisco, New Orleans or Carson City Mints," GovMint said on its website.

Not only is the number of coins in the collection memorable, but the quality of the coins was also remarkable, according to Numismatic Guaranty Company, which was hired to evaluate the coins.

NGC gave most of the coins gradings of Extremely Fine to Mint State (XF–MS) condition; it is believed that some coins came straight from a bank and were never circulated.

"The opportunity to handle the Great Kentucky Hoard is one of the highlights of my career," said Jeff Garrett, a rare coin dealer and leading expert in American coinage, who evaluated the trove for the NGC. "The importance of this discovery cannot be overstated, as the stunning number of over 700 gold dollars represents a virtual time capsule of Civil War-era coinage, including coins from the elusive Dahlonega Mint. Finding one Mint condition 1863 Double Eagle would be an important numismatic event. Finding nearly a roll of superb examples is hard to comprehend."

Kentucky was a neutral state during the Civil War, but according to one archeologist, the original owner probably buried the hoard to hide their dealings from Confederate soldiers.

In a comment to Live Science, Ryan McNutt, a conflict archaeologist at Georgia Southern University who has heard about the hoard but not seen it, said it has some historical significance.

“Given the time period and the location in Kentucky, which was neutral at the time, it is entirely possible this was buried in advance of Confederate John Hunt Morgan's June to July 1863 raid,” McNutt said.

However, not much is known about the coins. McNutt noted that most historical artifacts found on private land go to market or are collected without archaeological consultation.

“As a conflict archaeologist, I find this loss of information particularly frustrating," he said. “It's a snapshot of the past, lost forever."

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To: carranza2 who wrote (200264)7/13/2023 2:47:03 AM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218137
 
EVERYTHING bullish

bloomberg.com

Fund Titans Are Betting on Everything Gaining Against the Dollar

UBS Asset likes Latin American currencies, M&G sees yen rising Dollar to weaken as Fed nears end of interest-rate hike cycle

Malavika Kaur Makol

13 July 2023 at 09:26 GMT+8

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The dollar has defied predictions of a prolonged slump since at least the beginning of the year but top money managers say it’s now on borrowed time as US exceptionalism wanes.

The greenback is weakening as US interest rates near a peak and the Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening begins to take a toll on the world’s largest economy, investors say. That will set the stage for the likes of the yen, kiwi and emerging-market currencies such as the Brazilian real and Colombian peso to strengthen, according to AllianceBernstein and UBS Asset Management.

The dollar’s resilience has confounded bears who had warned that the currency was headed for a multi-year decline following a surge in 2022. But there’s a growing conviction that they may finally be proven right as easing inflation backs the case for the US central bank to wrap up its rate-hike campaign in the coming months.

“Broadly we would probably assume that the US dollar has had its peak and there might be room for other currencies to perform better in the latter half of 2023-2024,” said Brad Gibson, co-head of Asia Pacific fixed income at AB. This is because the US economy will slow and the Fed is likely to start easing, he said.

The reaction to Wednesday’s cooling US inflation data appear to justify the tide of bearish calls against the greenback. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index slumped to a 15-month low, with the gauge now down over 11% from a September peak.

Hedge funds had been bracing for weakness, as they turned net sellers of the dollar for the first time since March, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission aggregated by Bloomberg.



Against this backdrop, investors are lining up their bets on which currencies will gain from the greenback’s decline. The yen is seen as a prime beneficiary with bulls seeingcatalysts from fears of a US recession to narrowing yield differentials to speculation the Bank of Japan may tweak its ultra-loose policy in the coming months.

Jim Leaviss, chief investment officer of public fixed income at M&G Investments which oversees $366 billion, is shorting the dollar against the yen.

“There are lots of currency opportunities out there at the moment,” said Leaviss. “Quite a few of the emerging market currencies look cheap.”

Weaker DollarEvery Group-of-10 currency has strengthened against the greenback over the past month. The yen rallied 4% in the past five sessions, the Swiss franc rose to the strongest since 2015, while the euro and pound reached their highest in more than a year.

Emerging currencies have also advanced, with a MSCI gauge of such assets up 2% this year after sliding 4% in 2022. Bloomberg’s dollar gauge extended losses by about 0.1% on Thursday.

For UBS Asset’s Shamaila Khan, Latin American currencies including those of Brazil, Mexico, Chile and Colombia are likely to outperform. Every one of them has strengthened against the dollar this year, with the Colombian peso advancing 18% against the greenback.

“We like them due to the high yield, double digit carry they offer,” said New York-based Khan, head of fixed income for EM and Asia Pacific for the $1.1 trillion asset manager. “We expect a weaker dollar in the second half.”



Lombard Odier’s Christian Abuide also sees the real gaining, along with the Swiss franc, euro and yen.

“We favor the high carry yield offered by emerging markets such as the Brazilian real, which is benefiting from an environment of falling inflation and improving fiscal and external balances,” Abuide, head of asset allocation, wrote in a recent report.

What Bloomberg Strategists Say...

If you continue to believe, as we do, that the Fed rate will soon peak (though no 2023 cuts), in a softening (not hard landing) US growth story and in a continued risk-on market context, it makes sense to believe in a weaker dollar performance into 2H.

- Audrey Childe-Freeman, chief G-10 FX strategist. For the full note, click here

Haven Bids Others are less certain the dollar will weaken further.

“We haven’t been taking much risk” in foreign exchange, said Brendan Murphy, a money manager at Insight Investment which oversees over $880 billion. “You still have these high and rising real rates, and you have growth concerns globally and the US — on a relative basis — is really doing better than say Europe or China.”

There are arguments in favor of a stronger dollar. The Fed may keep rates higher for longer if inflation doesn’t fall back within the central bank’s target. The world’s reserve currency also tends to strengthen amid risk aversion and worsening recession fears may spur renewed strength in the greenback.

Read More:
Hedge Funds Abandon Bullish Dollar Bets on Peak Fed Speculation

Dollar Falls to Lowest in Three Months Ahead of Inflation Data

Yen Strengthens Through 140 as Bulls Bet on Turning Point


But, overall there appears to be a growing consensus that the greenback’s best days are over for now.

Peaking US rates “takes away one of the supports for the dollar,” said Rajeev De Mello, a 36-year markets veteran and money manager at GAMA Asset Management, who is buying the Indian rupee and Mexican peso against the greenback. “That first phase of buying other currencies outside the dollar is already in motion.”

(Updates today’s dollar level.)

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To: carranza2 who wrote (200264)7/16/2023 4:18:40 AM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218137
 
gold bullish?

bloomberg.com

US Homeowners Are Tapping $9 Trillion in Real Estate Wealth

Higher mortgage rates have made cash-out refinancing less attractive and pushed more people to take out home equity lines of credit.

By Claire Ballentine, and Paulina Cachero

July 15, 2023 at 11:00 AM EDT


Photographer: Rebecca Noble/Bloomberg

A couple in Austin is using the money to fix up a rental house they own and help pay for their three young kids to attend Montessori school. A cop in Florida is playing the stock market. Others just like knowing there’s cash available if an emergency expense pops up.

Welcome to the 2023 Heloc boom.

Americans are increasingly tapping their greatest source of wealth, getting home equity lines of credit to borrow against the value of their properties, which skyrocketed in the pandemic real estate rally. Helocs have become more popular as mortgage rates surged from record lows, making cash-out refinancing unattractive to most homeowners.


The Ponder family.Source: Ross PonderRoss and Sarah Ponder bought a house in Austin in 2018 for $560,000. Four years later, after Covid migration made the Texas capital one of the hottest markets in the country, the place was worth $1 million. With three kids age 5 and under, the Ponders decided in March 2022 to take out a Heloc of $237,500.

They had recently closed on an investment property and the cash helped them make repairs and pay their kids’ tuition. They also found peace of mind knowing they had a little extra money around.

“It’s important for us to have options for getting money in a crisis,” said Ross Ponder, a 39-year-old real estate agent. “And it lets us keep our liquid cash liquid, which we prefer.”

In recent years, lenders scarred by the financial crisis kept a tight grip on Helocs, which are considered relatively risky for banks because the credit line functions as a “second lien” that’s paid off after primary mortgage obligations. But 30-year loan costs at almost double early 2022 levels have squashed the refi boom, making financial institutions more open to Helocs, said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com.

“The phones in the mortgage refinance department aren’t ringing,” he said. “The way to get equity out of the home has swung to the Heloc.”

Typically, there’s an upfront fee for opening a Heloc, but interest doesn’t accrue until the funds are used. And for homeowners sitting on a mountain of equity, it can end up being a costly option. The rates are often variable, determined by broader lending conditions, meaning the Federal Reserve’s aggressive inflation-fighting campaign can increase costs for borrowers. The Ponders, for instance, had a 7% interest rate when they got their Heloc and it has since jumped to 8.7%.

Still, it’s a way for people who have seen the value of their homes increase to get access to cash, especially for those who missed the refinancing boom when borrowing costs were low during the pandemic. In 2022, annual Heloc originations rose 34% from the prior year, to 1.41 million individual loans. That was the highest total since 2008, according to credit reporting agency TransUnion. And while 2023 figures aren’t yet in, the number of Heloc accounts has risen in each of the last three quarters for which data is available.


Helocs Gain Popularity As Mortgage Rates Rise Last year saw the most Heloc originations since 2008

Source: TransUnion

Real estate prices have cooled slightly from the boom days, but most US homeowners have seen their properties appreciate rapidly, especially in popular spots such as Texas and Florida. Americans collectively had $28.7 trillion worth of home equity at the end of the first quarter, according to Black Knight Inc. That was down from the record high in the second quarter of 2022, but up from $20 trillion at the beginning of 2020.

Meanwhile, tappable equity — the amount available to lend or borrow against while keeping a 20% equity cushion — is at $9.3 trillion, up 56% over a three-year period.

Looking for Opportunities

Jon Buck’s home in a suburb outside Indianapolis has nearly doubled in value since he and wife bought it for $400,000 in 2014. The 41-year-old, who works in online product management, took out a Heloc in February for $200,000, aiming to use the cash to buy properties he can rent out.

But with a 9% interest rate, he’s struggling to find an investment that yields enough to make it worthwhile. He’s still on the hunt, hoping prices in his area drop. If nothing else, he likes having access to extra cash if he needs it.

“It’s just having a line of credit that’s available in an emergency,” he said. “When you need credit, it’s not the time to be looking for it.”

The search for an investment property has also been hard for Gavin Galazka, a 27-year-old law enforcement officer in Naples, Florida. In May 2022, he decided to take out a $50,000 line of credit on the condo, which had jumped in value since he bought it the prior year.


Gavin Galazka
Source: Gavin Galazka

But as the Fed hiked rates, Galazka’s Heloc got more expensive, with the interest rate more than doubling to 8%. That made the prospect of a getting a mortgage for a new property less appealing. Instead, he decided to play the stock market.

Galazka primarily trades options, such as puts on the S&P 500 for 30 or 60 days out. He said those trades usually make him enough money to pay the interest on his Heloc, which is about $280 a month. And he’s still looking for a property to buy.

“You could say, ‘Why don’t you just close the Heloc?’” he said. “But I like to be liquid in case something comes up on a property with an awesome deal.”



To: carranza2 who wrote (200264)7/30/2023 6:55:20 AM
From: TobagoJack2 Recommendations

Recommended By
fred woodall
Pogeu Mahone

  Respond to of 218137
 
Re <<CPI>> and such, and 'they' try to tell us <<gold>> is useless ...

... I agree, that except for counting, eating and drinking from, sitting on, wearing, and making boxes out of, gold is pretty and pretty much useless