To: Lewis Edinburg who wrote (9117 ) 2/14/1998 9:59:00 PM From: Sam Scrutchins Respond to of 10836
Institutions (3 Months) 46.30% Insiders (6 Months) 17.05% **** If there is that much less amount of stock in active trading, will that tend to keep the price where it is, or worse yet, to push it down? I don't know about the rest of you, but it seems particularly positive to me that 63.35% of Borland's stock is held by investors who, for the most part, are likely to want to hold the stock for much higher prices. In the absense of the Visigenic merger (should be interesting to know the same data for VSGN), less than 14 million shares of Borland are available as float. I, for one, have a few thousand of these shares as an individual investor, and mine are NOT available for float. Given that others are probably like me, that should leave less than 10 million shares available for purchase in the short term. Also, given that around 3 million shares are shorted, that tells me that the upside potential could be explosive. There are bound to be more institutions which take an interest in Borland as the news of the company's recovery and bright future prospects gets around. In fact, this stock could move up strongly on the tight supply regardless of the fundamentals. The technicals seem to support this with the little flags that keep forming, followed by upside breakouts. I wouldn't be at all surprised to see another upside breakout next week if the greater market cooperates. What we could really use is a buy recommendation following the publication of the 10% institutional purchase just announced. From my perspective as an investor, I want to be able to anticipate the point at which these institutions begin to sell their long-term holdings. However, I think we will see the 20's or higher before that happens. Another couple of positive quarters in Del's 8-quarter turnaround, could achieve this sort of buying frenzy and price appreciation. I hope the news stays as good as it has been. Just my 2 cents. Sam