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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carranza2 who wrote (200800)8/15/2023 4:04:19 PM
From: marcher  Respond to of 218134
 
yep, crazy.
though neoliberals who claim 'left' are really
opportunistic identity-politic-ers of distortion.

the left has been scattered to the wind.
so to say...................



To: carranza2 who wrote (200800)8/15/2023 7:11:20 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218134
 
Heads-up re Martin Armstrong

standard.socratesplatform.com

A View into January (PRO)
TUESDAY, AUGUST 8, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG





Whenever you do an analysis, always look at several markets to ascertain the trend. The wildcard that wiped out people always comes from the outside. Here is the long-term chart on the Euro. It does not look like it will support this nonsense that the dollar is dead. On the contrary, it is precisely the opposite. However, we are not looking at CONFIDENCE in the US government under this radical Biden administration. I'm sorry, but the EU looks like it is on its last legs. Even the stochastic looks negative into the future. New historic lows are possible as soon as 2025.

We are looking at Jan/Feb with Panic Cycles in many markets. I have warned that August is the favorite month to start wars, and they are working hard to do precisely that. They have control of Germany, ICC, and Brussels. They are working diligently to dethrone Macron, for he sees through their facade and has been trying to warn the EU not to follow the USA's policy. We had a Directional Change in the Euro for July, and as long as that high stands, the dollar can still push higher.





TheUSsharemarkethasadirectionalChangenextweek and a Panic Cycle the week thereafter. But we also have a January Panic Cycle, and the risk is that the first reaction in war is always down first and then a rise thereafter. We do not see a RECESSION. Many who had forecast a Recession have now recanted. This Ukraine war is depleting our stockpile of ammunition and much more. This will all have to be replenished. This is why Powell refers vaguely to international considerations.



Our model has not diverted. A recession in economic growth will ONLY arrive post-2024 - not before. The whole nonsense of rising interest rates is bearish, for the stock market is up there, with global warming has only taken place because of fossil fuels.



The Fed raised rates throughout the Trump Administration; yes, the Dow bottomed at 15,450.56 in 2016, and by 2020, it had doubled, reaching 30,637.47. Never ONCE have I ever heard anyone on TV ever question this analysis that has resulted in wrong forecasts consistently.

So, be cautious now. Look at the reversals and the arrays in the various market you may be investing in. It is just time for a pause, and this may be related to the Neocons who are running scared right now; Trump leads all Republicans and Democrats. The people realize that just maybe it is time to clean Washington out before they become the destroyer of worlds.



To: carranza2 who wrote (200800)8/15/2023 7:16:55 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 218134
 
and more ...

standard.socratesplatform.com

When it All Comes Crashing Down
MONDAY, AUGUST 14, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG



COMMENT #1: Hi Marty,

If I am reading this chart correctly, we are, as you have been warned, imploding already due to interest payments. This looks like we could be nearing $4 Trillion in interest payments alone for a single year. Their answer will be CBDCs and canceling all debt. But my question is, how does the dollar still go up if, through CBDCs, governments can stop all capital movement?

Thanks, and see you at WEC,

Norm

COMMENT #2: Marty, I have to comment that only you have forecast these events ten years in advance, if not more. Your reports on the sovereign debt crisis laid it all out. I understand your frustration with how these governments always call you in, yet they seem to hope you will change your forecast. I bet that when this all comes crashing down, they will send a private jet for you and ask you to fix it all in 24 hrs. I know for a fact they even came to you when you were in prison in 2008. That took the cake. This debt will bring them down. As you said, the percent of the total debt is consumed by interest.

Can't wait for the next WEC

Jed



REPLY: Yes, the debt will soar, which is why they are desperate to default and create a new currency with the CBDCs. They have ZERO intention of ever reforming the monetary system to stabilize the global economy. You have the Neocons only interested in creating World War III and ignoring that China was the largest holder of US debt. They have been dumping the debt because you do not fund your enemy. Reducing the demand for debt means that interest rates MUST rise regardless of the CPI or unemployment statistics. These armchair analysts only look domestically. They NEVER look at the world.



Because they artificially lowered interest rates to a 5,000-year low, there is nowhere to go BUT UP, UP, and AWAY! These morons are oblivious to history and buy into the whole Marxist agenda, where they believe that government has the power and the knowledge to control the economy's fate.



I finally found a copy of Keynes' 1926 book "The End of Laissez-Fair," which effectively endorsed Marx and this entire mess that we now find ourselves in. Before he died, he admitted that he spent his life claiming that Smith's Invisible Hand was wrong. He was compelled to admit he was wrong.



The rest of the economic community ignore Keynes' lamentation. They want to retain that power to tell the government that only they can control the economy. This is the problem with academics. They talk theory but have no practical firsthand experience.



This is where Klaus Schwab comes into play. He promotes communism and total control. He is a well know control freak. Everything must function the way he decides. The more the economy gets away from them, the tighter they will tie the noose around the necks of everyone desperate to retain their position of power. He wants to control every aspect of your life. What you think, what you buy, sell, how many children you would be allowed to have based on your credit score, insert chips into your brains, and birth control chips into women. He spouts out the same nonsense if you have nothing to hide, you will have nothing to fear. But that is all a question of interpretation. We cannot even agree on what a woman is anymore. With conspiracy laws, you become a worthless citizen if you donate money to some protest, like the truckers in Canada.







As you can see, the total accumulative portion of the debt, which is interest expenditures, is rising again. It managed to decline with artificially low-interest rates. While the pundits looked at the Fed and QE, they missed the entire problem. The Fed has no power over the fiscal budget. This is why the Fed will NEVER be able to reach a 2% inflation goal, and they know it. The problem - the talking heads on TV and mainstream media are oblivious to the real trends.

The system is no longer sustainable. That is why they are desperate to push forward with canceling paper currency to force us into CBDCs where they will control every aspect of our lives. PRIVACY will be a thing of the past. All human rights no longer matter, only the survival of the state.



The cancelation of the Continental Currency of the revolutionary government led to the Panic of 1792. The failure of any immediate convertibility of the Continental dollar to the new US dollar led to speculation and volatility that plagued the financial markets. The Bank of the United States script became the focus of a flight to quality which was public to private that caused wild gyrations and insane volatility. The price swings from its original price of par 100 in the Bank of the United States script rose dramatically in a bidding war that saw the high reaching 195, followed by a collapse back to 110 with a reaction rally after that to 145. Such wild price swings in this script issue caused numerous failures. The flight of assets from PUBLIC to PRIVATE led Ben Franklin to utter one of his most famous quotes.





I am preparing the next Special Report for the #1 question will be the coming tyranny of the CBDCs and the cancelation of the paper currency in Europe, Japan, Canada, Australia, and the United States. We are looking at the timing from the computer and this is coming a lot faster than people may suspect.



To: carranza2 who wrote (200800)8/15/2023 7:19:28 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218134
 
and still more

standard.socratesplatform.com

2024 & the ECM
SATURDAY, AUGUST 12, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG



I think it is important to point out that we have a MAJOR divergence between the 2024 Presidential Election and the turn in the ECM which will come 6 months earlier on May 7th/8th, 2024. This leaves a lot of time for absolute chaos in the global economy. Do not forget, 2024 will bring major elections in the US, EU, and even Russia.





The last time we had a Presidential election coinciding with the peak in the ECM was in 1912. That was rather devastating for it brought Woodrow Wilson to power and he was an academic so he loved Marx. Under Wilson, he brought in the Income Tax in his first year of office and the Federal Reserve. Thus, it was a major turning point economically in shaping the future of the United States as a socialist country. This was 112 years or the halfway mark in the Cycle of Policial Change which is 224 years. Consequently, 2024 will be a watershed event in the political-economic history of the United States.

224 years ago was the 1800 presidential election which was between Jefferson and Adams. That was a major confrontation and the birth of the Democratic-Republican Party against the Federalists. The party of Jefferson then split into the Democrats (southern slave owners) v Republicans led by Lincoln which was the combination of the religious right and industrials. Obviously, we get these major political shifts on the 224-year cycle with its half-cycle interval at 112 years.





Woodrow Wilson probably did as much damage to the economy and to our freedom as FDR. Like Biden, Willson was no longer competent to be president. Despite his medical incapacity, Wilson still wanted to run for a third term. When someone has lost his mind, he clearly does not know it. The 1920 Democratic National Convention endorsed Wilson's policies, but not him. Democratic leaders nominated instead a ticket consisting of Governor James M. Cox and Assistant Secretary of the Navy Franklin D. Roosevelt. They lost. The joke was that Ms Willson was really the first female president for she was really running the country when old Woodrow was clueless.



This time, the ECM again turns to coincide with the presidential election about 6 months in advance. This implies that we have a problem. Between the May 2024 turn in the ECM and the November election, we should expect to see some very confused markets. The Russian election will be on March 17th, 2024. The EU election will be June 6-9, 2024, which will be closer to the ECM. That too should witness some rising discontent. The UK election cannot take place later than January 24th, 2025. The next election in Japan must take place before October 31st, 2025. whereas Canada is stuck with Scwab's bitch, Trudeau, until October 20th, 2025. In Australia, there too the election must be before the end of 2025.





As you can see, our model is showing a PANIC CYCLE in US GDP for 2024. It appears that the turning point here in 2023 may be the highest annual closing. We have not seen a turn on this model since 2008.



Suffice it to say, the Biden Crime Family is really nothing new to Washington. Even these people who seem to profess some desire to take out the Big Guy, fail to understand that Biden is there BECAUSE he was for sale. The real movers & shakers are hiding behind the curtain. Removing the Big Guy will by no means alter the agenda.





The press has so divided the nation they are blind to the fact that are promoting disunity and this will ultimately lead to the collapse of the United States - a nation divided can not stand. This is not a free country when one side gets to impose by decree their economic Marxist beliefs. Civilization ONLY works when everyone benefits. When you turn one side against the other and treat this like a football game, then there is no longer any purpose to remaining as one nation.

So as we approach 2024, keep in mind that the ECN turns in May - not the end of 2024. The collapse in the rule of law is astonishing. They did not criminally prosecute Nixon for Watergate or Bill Clinton for perjury. They have indicted Trump to interfere with the 2024 election and this is exactly unfolding as our computer has forecast that this will be a complete collapse in the confidence of government.



To: carranza2 who wrote (200800)8/15/2023 7:23:04 PM
From: TobagoJack  Respond to of 218134
 
last bits of detailing

standard.socratesplatform.com

Taiwan Rising Tensions Come September 2023
SUNDAY, JULY 30, 2023 BY: MARTIN ARMSTRONG



QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, First, I want to thank you for creating Socrates. It is the only reliable source for forecasting Taiwan. My question is about the Double Directional Change in 2024. Does this imply that any real confrontation with China will likely come next year?

AK



ANSWER: We also have a Directional Change in the currency in 2024, followed by a Panic Cycle in 2025. However, tensions will start to rise this September. The Republic of China (Taiwan) (ROC) government relocated to Taiwan, followed by 1.2 million people from China. It was October 25th, 1949, when the Battle of Kuningtou on Kinmen occurred, in which the ROC armed forces defeated the CCP on the island's northwestern coast. The ROC then declared Martial law in Taiwan, which continued to be in force until 1987. The tensions have turned up in 2021. When we look at 2025, that will also be the Pi target in the currency on the yearly level that Socrates has had on the screen for quite some time now.



It will be 51.6 years from February 27, 1972 (1972.1315), One China Policy Communiqué that protected Taiwan come September 24, 2023 (2023.7315). To be accurate, it was actually Donald J. Trump on December 2, 2016, 25 days after his election victory against the Queen of Neocons, Hillary Clinton, that he took a congratulatory phone call from Taiwan’s president Tsai Ing-wen who was trying to start indeed to undo the One China Policy to the detriment of Taiwan. This was the first time to anyone’s knowledge, that a U.S. president or president-elect had spoken to his counterpart in Taiwan. What prompted Tsai Ing-wen to upset the balance of power that had left Taiwan free and subservient in formality only? Some have speculated that he was instigated by the American Neocons, who Trump would later fire. Some have questioned whether Trump had violated the One-China policy governing U.S. relations with China and Taiwan on the direction of the Neocons the deep state stuffed into his cabinet.



The United States maintains the American Institute in Taiwan, which is the United States’ de facto embassy in everything but name. What has been carried out for decades is strategic ambiguity which has protected Taiwan so far. Pushing Taiwan's Independence now forces Beijing to respond or look weak. That is the whole problem. The strategic ambiguity allowed Beijing to maintain face and securely chain the dogs of war.

David Stilwell, in August 2020, then-Pentagon spokesperson, and John Kirby who stated in October 2021 that the United States took no position on the sovereignty of Taiwan. State Department spokesperson Ned Price issued a similar statement in September 2022.



It appears that with the 51.6-year ECM cycle due from the One China Policy on Sunday, September 24th, 2023, and a Panic Cycle appearing the week of September 11th followed by rising volatility into the week of the 25th, all warn that we should expect that tensions will begin to increase in September.



To: carranza2 who wrote (200800)8/17/2023 9:17:17 AM
From: Pogeu Mahone1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Maurice Winn

  Respond to of 218134
 
Dershowitz: Democrats Indicted Trump For What They Did In 2000

Dershowitz was former Counsel to former Vice President Al Gore when the Democratic nominee challenged President Bush’s win in 2000.

The Havard professor told Fox News Digital that Trump’s latest indictment in Georgia charges the former president for what Democrats did when they contested Bush’s win. Dershowitz added that Trump is being indicted for actions similar to Al Gore’s legal strategy in the 2000 Bush v. Gore case.

“We challenged the election, and we did much of the things that are being done today and people praised us. I wrote a bestselling book called ‘Supreme Injustice.’ Now they’re making it a crime,” Dershowitz said

One key piece of evidence presented against Trump to the Georgia grand jury was a call to Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. In the call, Trump asked the Georgia officials to help him find 11,789 votes.

Dershowitz dismissed the call while adding that actions like that were part of Gore’s legal strategy in 2000.

“It’s pretty much the same thing I did and Professor Lawrence Tribe did, and those of us who were on the Al Gore team,” Dershowitz said. “We did the same thing and Professor Tribe wrote a legal memorandum essentially laying out a strategy very similar to the strategy for which these folks are being indicted today. So if you look back at the 2000 election and the protests, I still think to this day, and I’ll say it here on television, that that election was stolen from Al Gore by Bush. That he won the actual election. I’m saying that — are they going to come after me now?”

Dershowitz blasted the Fulton County District Attorney Fani Willis’ office for mistakenly posting the indictment before the Grand jury voted. The Harvard professor maintains that the indictment should not be taken seriously. Dershowitz argued that posting the indictment before the grand jury’s decision proves that the grand jury is “just a rubber stamp.’