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Non-Tech : Radica Games (RADA) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ron Harvey who wrote (2626)2/16/1998 2:35:00 PM
From: Wayne  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 7111
 
I've yet to hear any comments that are fact as to how the Has/Tiger will play out for Radica. However I have done enough crunching to have posted what I believe the worst case could be (as far as bottom line, FWIW), as well as, offer some very reasonable considerations on the less negative side, (along with many others here). I think we have covered this issue as well as we can until we have some solid info from the company. I'd guess that someone might ask about it at
conference call and we will find out more at that time. Until then, trying to turn a less then 10% (non core) net issue on a company that is growing at a rate of over 100% (on it's core products) into a dooms day machine is not being reasonable and goes further then stating opinion.

Considering Radica's earnings/revenue/capacity growth rates, that this acquisition does not create another competitor, the cost of acquiring Tiger, Tigers much lower margins due to the way they
operate, the outsourcing of all Tiger product, Hasbro's profitable relationship with Radica, Hasbro did not buy production facilities, Radica's very impressive new products that sound to be getting killer acceptance, Radica's apparent very high Q1 production levels (perhaps as high as 75% of Q4), constant sell out reports at retailers, expansion on production over Q1 levels in Q2, and the very likely Q1 earnings being up 100% probable 200% and possible 300%, as well as, the usual 20-30%/70-80% seasonal split of revenue (is this a run on sentence or what), I fail to see any reason for an extensive Chicken Little conversation.

Sorry if I sound to optimistic for some but GEEE, maybe there is a reason, and it is based more on information than speculation! Information that has been made available to anyone keeping tabs. I'm not trying to stifle anyone here. BUT, you may want to consider the opinion and whole picture before you post the sky is falling.

Wayne

By the way, how important is this thread? I'm not sure but it has been pointed out as a good source by CBS and IBD and is constantly mentioned on AOL so I would assume many others as well. Also holds the interest of the company itself. Not saying it moves the price but does seem to have a active roll in investors research.



To: Ron Harvey who wrote (2626)2/16/1998 3:24:00 PM
From: j rector  Respond to of 7111
 
I agree w/Ron. Lets keep this board an objective
discussion group rather than a preaching to the
choir section. That said, I don't think Jon's points
are necessarily correct. RADAF has, and is selling into
a completely different market than TIGER right now.
There is virtually no overlap, and I don't see how HAS's
purchase will change this.



To: Ron Harvey who wrote (2626)2/17/1998 2:19:00 AM
From: Matt Black  Respond to of 7111
 
Ron,
While I agree with your fake surprise that objectivity might actually be promoted on our thread, but then you lost me when you alligned non-conformist thinking with its antithisis, the red headed stepchild of socialisim; Democracy.
Careful when you make statements that attempt to somehow tie non-conformist objective thinking to Democracy:

..."God forbid that somebody disagree on a message board! The next thing you know someone'll promote objectivity. And then (I shudder to think of it) independent, non-conformist thinking! And next - be still, my heart! - balanced decision-making, which could even lead to some fearless souls promoting the First Amendment in an open forum. What's next, for God's sake, democracy!!?..."

I consider myself a Capitalist, and an INDIVIDUAL investor. In my view, the simplest analogy to explain the evils of democracy, would be two wolves and a sheep trying to decide on what to have for dinner.

Still long on RADAF

Matt Black

I hope nobody minds injecting a little philosophy into the thread from time to time.