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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stuffbug who wrote (74252)11/15/2023 7:02:50 AM
From: Elroy  Respond to of 78748
 
GRVY is highly dependent on revenue from its Ragnarok Online gaming series.
If popularity wanes, bye-bye profits.


Same thing can be said with Call of Duty, Gran Turismo, every game series. This is nothing new.
And conversely, if the popularity of Ragnarok game series increases, profits increase.

The trend over the past 5-7 years is revenue growth. They're launching in China in Q1 2024. I think they would have to have the server explode to fail to grow strongly during a China launch.

If you have reason to believe GRVY's sales will enter perpetual decline, I'd love to read the reason. But just the fact that a perpetual decline "is possible" means little.
Although Gravity is launching their titles in other countries, gamers can be very fickle.
Q3 total revenues declined by 26.3% vs Q2.


Sure. But if you deduct cash per share from the price, what's left is a stock with a price below 2x annual earnings. That's nuts.
Company plans to use cash hoard to purchase additional titles.
Do you have evidence for this claim? Why do you say this?

Stock price is likely to reward intermediate term traders who can call the turns.

Pure speculation on your part. This is like saying someone who can buy low and sell high will make money. Duh.

My theory on GRVY is that it is SOOOO cheap, and business seems OK if not quite good, that they can generate enough cash in a year or two to push the shares at least $20 higher. And if the stock somehow attracts a normal US investor base that values equities normally, then GRVY can easily triple. I don't know if GRVY management will do anything to try to earn a normal valuation, but if they do, the runway to a higher share price (say......an 8x PE) is easy.