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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Broken_Clock who wrote (1433716)1/16/2024 2:19:08 PM
From: golfer721 Recommendation

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longz

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1584555
 
LOL calling someone an idiot for avoiding the fake Covid vaccine says a lot more about the idiot (Erica) that stated it. LMAO



To: Broken_Clock who wrote (1433716)1/16/2024 4:48:37 PM
From: Brumar892 Recommendations

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pocotrader
rdkflorida2

  Respond to of 1584555
 
NATO Allies Unite to Demine the Black Sea

By RFE/RL staff - Jan 16, 2024, 12:00 PM CST
  • The Mine Countermeasures Naval Group in the Black Sea (MCM Black Sea) will deploy minesweepers and minehunters to ensure safer navigation.
  • This effort aims to protect shipping lanes, crucial for Ukraine's grain exports, without escalating military presence in the region.
  • NATO has welcomed this initiative as it increases regional safety and maintains crucial trade routes amidst the ongoing conflict.


A Panama-flagged cargo ship navigating the Black Sea on its way to a Danube River port to load grain, a crucial export commodity for war-hit Ukraine, was jolted by an explosion in late December that threw the vessel off course, sparked a fire on deck, and left two crew members injured.

The Ukrainian military, which dispatched tugs to the site, said on December 28 that the ship had hit a Russian mine in the Black Sea, the second such incident in as many months in the major trade route.

Since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of neighboring Ukraine in February 2022, the Black Sea has increasingly become a war zone, its waters littered with mines and its skies buzzing with drones and missiles. Russian attacks have hit targets close to the borders of NATO members Romania and Bulgaria, threatening new shipping routes that have been a lifeline for Ukraine. And tourists, usually bound for Black Sea resorts, have been scared away with reports of drifting rogue mines.

There could be some respite, however, after Turkey, Romania, and Bulgaria -- the only NATO countries with direct access to the Black Sea -- announced on January 11 the launch of a joint force to clear sea mines, the first major combined effort among allies in the dangerous waters since the start of Russia's 2022 invasion.

The Turkish and Romanian defense ministers -- Yasar Guler and Angel Tilvar, respectively -- and Bulgaria's Deputy Defense Minister Atanas Zapryanov signed a memorandum of understanding in Istanbul establishing the Mine Countermeasures Naval Group in the Black Sea (MCM Black Sea).

The joint operation will primarily deploy minesweepers -- specially equipped warships that remove or detonate naval mines in large areas -- and minehunters, smaller, more nimble vessels that destroy individual mines and can operate in shallow waters. The three countries will also utilize helicopters and drones from the air.

While the new force is meant to protect Black Sea shipping, officials from Turkey, Romania, and Bulgaria have said it is intended to be entirely peaceful and won't bring any new NATO vessels to the sea. The Bulgarian Defense Ministry told RFE/RL's Bulgarian Service that the joint minesweeping action should be operative within a few months.

Although not formally involved, NATO has welcomed the initiative.

"Russia's war against Ukraine poses substantial risks to freedom of navigation in the Black Sea region, which is of strategic importance to NATO," the alliance said in a statement to RFE/RL. "We welcome efforts by our allies Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey to increase the safety of navigation in the Black Sea, including through a new countermine naval group."

The idea of creating such a "trilateral initiative" was first aired by NATO defense ministers on October 12. Bulgarian Defense Minister Todor Tagarev said the aim would be to create a security belt, free from mines, to protect ships carrying Ukrainian exports.

Three months prior, in July, Russia withdrew from a 2022 UN-brokered Black Sea grain export deal and threatened to treat all vessels as potential military targets. To get its grain to market, Ukraine created a new shipping corridor, which hugs Romania's 245-kilometer and Bulgaria's 378-kilometer coastlines on the Black Sea.

In response, Russia has "absolutely" increased its mining and other hostile activities in and around the Black Sea to thwart Ukraine's efforts to get its grain to world markets, Tomas Alexa, a senior analyst of the British maritime security firm Ambrey, told RFE/RL. Ukraine has regularly accused Russia of dropping mines from aircraft in an attempt to disrupt commercial shipping.

Mass Mining

The danger and prevalence of sea mines in the Black Sea became quickly apparent in the weeks after Russia launched its February 2022 full-scale invasion of Ukraine. In the following weeks, Ukraine deployed mines to protect its ports in and around the Black Sea, Alexa said.

Russia also was reported to have laid mines in the waters off Crimea, which it illegally seized from Ukraine in 2014. Ambrey has recently confirmed reports, Alexa said, that Russia has also deployed mines around the Crimean Bridge, which connects Russia to the illegally annexed peninsula and has been targeted by attacks allegedly carried out by Ukraine's military.

No exact numbers are available, but Alexa said both Ukraine and Russia had stockpiles of Soviet-era YaM anchor mines, which are tethered with a chain and float a few meters below the surface.

"Four hundred, 500 mines were deployed in the Black Sea at the start of the war,” he said.

The consequences of the mass mining were dramatic. On March 3, 2022, the Estonian-owned M/V Helt sank in the Black Sea after striking a mine some 40 kilometers south of Odesa, with all crew safely abandoning ship. Shortly thereafter, several warnings were issued cautioning ships about the possibility of drifting mines in the northwestern, western, and southwestern areas of the Black Sea, including by the NATO Shipping Center.

Later that month, on March 26, 2022, the Turkish Navy detected and detonated the first stray mine in the Black Sea off the cast of Istanbul near the Bosphorus Strait, prompting the temporary closure of the key waterway. Two days later, a second drifting mine was detected off the coast of Igneada, near the Bulgarian border, and deactivated by a Turkish Navy dive team.

That same day, the Romanian Navy minesweeper Vice Admiral Constantin Balescu detonated a floating naval mine spotted by a Romanian fisherman about 90 kilometers off Capu Midia, a Romanian military base located near the Black Sea port of Constanta. Turkey destroyed a fourth mine on April 6, 2022.

For Romania, the danger posed by mines is especially acute given that "Romanian territorial waters and ports are now of crucial importance and have witnessed record traffic levels," explained Cristian Vlas, an analyst focused on Romania and Moldova.

Romania's port of Constanta recorded its highest grain exports in 2023 thanks to a surge in shipments from Ukraine, Romanian officials said on January 10.

"Romania will be the first to suffer the consequences in the Black Sea," said Dionis Cenusa, an associate expert at the Vilnius-based Eastern Europe Studies Center. "Because sea mines are moving south, even through Romanian waters."

New Equipment

The situation in the Black Sea region worsened after Russia pulled out of the UN-brokered grain deal in July and began bombing Ukrainian port and grain facilities in a bid to cripple Kyiv's exports. That same month, a sea mine exploded close to the Romanian resort of Costinesti, which is located 30 kilometers from the Bulgarian border.

That summer, Russia held military drills in the Black Sea that encroached on parts of the Bulgarian and Turkish exclusive economic areas, making export routes even more dangerous to navigate. In August, Russia said in a statement that its Vasily Bykov patrol ship had fired automatic weapons on the Palau-flagged Sukru Okan vessel. The ship was located near Turkish territorial waters. And in October, a mine explosion caused minor damage to a Turkish-flagged cargo ship.

The December 28 attack on the Panamanian vessel was one of the most worrying mine incidents to date, said Alexa.

"The damage done is from the force of the blast under the ship. If the mine is on the surface, the explosion is not as damaging," he said.

Bulgaria has three minesweeping vessels, two of which were acquired in 2020 from the Netherlands -- which had decommissioned the pair in 2011 -- for 2 million euros ($2.2 million).

In September 2023, Romania bought two minesweepers from the United Kingdom -- the HMS Blyth and HMS Pembroke -- in a deal declared of strategic importance by the British Defense Ministry to bolster London's commitment to security in the Black Sea. One of the two ships -- the HMS Blyth -- was filmed passing through the Bosphorus Strait in December and renamed as the Ion Giculescu.

Turkey has more than 10 minehunters, with the oldest dating from 1998 and the newest from 2009. While Ankara is on board with the mine-clearing initiative, it is blocking Ukraine from receiving its own minesweeping vessels. On January 2, Turkey said it would not allow two minehunter ships donated by Britain to Ukraine to transit its waters en route to the Black Sea. It claimed that such a move would violate the Montreux Convention, a 1936 international pact concerning wartime passage of its straits (the Dardanelles Strait, the Sea of Marmara, and the Bosphorus Strait).

Turkey's stance has been criticized, including by former NATO Supreme Allied Commander James Stavridis, who argued in a post on X, formerly Twitter, that the Montreux Convention doesn't apply to minesweeping vessels since they "are entirely defensive."

Washington's Black Sea Strategy

Given its strategic importance and risks posed, Washington has recalibrated its strategy on the Black Sea. In a major announcement in October, the State Department outlined plans to increase regional security, multilateral cooperation, and strategic cohesion in that region.

At the time, Assistant Secretary of State James O'Brien told a congressional hearing that the Black Sea's fate is inextricably linked to that of Ukraine and wider Europe. Increasing and ensuring freedom of navigation, and restoring Ukraine's ability to access commercial shipping lanes, will boost the Ukrainian economy at a vital point in the war, O'Brien said.

Washington's strategic rethink, analysts say, followed the loss of a U.S. surveillance drone last March after a hostile encounter with Russian fighter jets over the Black Sea. Soon thereafter, members of the Senate and House Foreign Relations committees submitted a bipartisan bill highlighting the importance of the region and the need to establish a new strategy.

Concerns in Washington and among some Black Sea states have intensified, with Russia indicating it may have revanchist plans for the region. Putin waxed nostalgic recently about the period of history where imperial Russia held sway over much of the Black Sea area.

During his annual press conference and call-in event on December 14, Putin said: "The entire Black Sea coast became Russian after the Russo-Turkish Wars," apparently referring to the war of 1877-78, although others have disputed the Russian president's interpretation of history.

The Russian leader's remarks did not go unnoticed, especially in Sofia. Bulgarian Prime Minister Nikolay Denkov said a day later, on December 15, that Putin's comment betrayed Russia's "imperial ambitions at the expense of several countries which are now in the EU" and should serve as a warning.

Part of the Kremlin's immediate strategy could be sea mines, not only to target Ukraine but to deter their Western partners, maritime analyst Alexa said.

"The Russians understand it is not in their interest to directly attack Western ships, but they want to discourage them from entering the area and helping the Ukrainians export grain," Alexa explained. "Since both sides have the same types of mines, they have plausible deniability if a ship hits one of these explosives."

By RFE/RL



To: Broken_Clock who wrote (1433716)1/16/2024 4:57:45 PM
From: Brumar891 Recommendation

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pocotrader

  Respond to of 1584555
 

Why Russia Air Force's 'Severe Loss' May Be Work of US Patriot Ambush

The reported loss of a Russian A-50 surveillance aircraft over the Sea of Azov could prove "painful" for Moscow's military as it struggles to subdue Ukraine through winter, according to military experts.

Kyiv claimed the downing of an A-50 and the damaging of an Il-22 airborne command post on Sunday, an account supported by prominent pro-war Russian military bloggers on Telegram.

Russian authorities have yet to address the claims, and the Defense Ministry did not respond to Newsweek's emailed request for comment. Kyiv has not specified how the aircraft were hit. Newsweek has contacted a spokesperson for Ukraine's air force by WhatsApp to request comment.

Among the theories is that the planes were targeted by a mobile Ukrainian Patriot anti-air defense system, one of which has been credited with shooting down several Russian aircraft near the front line in recent months.

"It's a severe loss for the Russians," Ivan Stupak—a former officer in the Security Service of Ukraine and now an adviser to the Ukrainian parliament's national security, defense and intelligence committee—told Newsweek.

Pavel Luzin, a Russian political analyst and visiting scholar at the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, told Newsweek that the loss is notable given Moscow's thinning resources. "Russia has some other aircraft of these types, but their amount is limited," he explained.

At least one other A-50 has been reported hit since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine, bombed by Belarusian partisans at a base near Minsk in February 2023.


A Beriev A-50 early warning and control aircraft flies over the Kremlin and Red Square in Moscow to mark the 75th anniversary of the victory over Nazi Germany in World War Two, on May 9, 2020. Ukraine claimed to have downed one of the aircraft over the Sea of Azov on Sunday.YURI KADOBNOV/AFP VIA GETTY IMAGES

The incident represents the latest humiliation for a Russian air force consistently unable to leverage its vast numerical superiority over the battlefields of Ukraine. The shoot-down, if confirmed, would be a boon for Ukraine as its troops hold off renewed Russian winter offensives along the 600-mile front.

It is not yet clear how the two aircraft were hit. Reports emerged on Russian pro-war milblogger channels claiming a friendly fire incident, but other bloggers disputed the theory. Ukrainian commanders said their forces were responsible, though have not specified the attack method.

"It could be a Patriot anti-aircraft system supplied by the United States, or from Germany," Stupak suggested. "On December 22, [three] combat jets from the Russian side were destroyed over the occupied territories of Kherson region plus the Black Sea. So, it could be."

Ukraine claims to have shot down several Russian aircraft in recent months using U.S.- and German-supplied Patriot air defense systems, the interceptor missiles from which are effective out to around 100 miles and can reach the northern part of the Sea of Azov from Ukrainian frontline areas.

Ukraine is thought to have received three to five Patriot systems from the U.S. and Germany, their exact number and location closely guarded military secrets.

Their prime role is to defend Ukrainian cities and vital infrastructure against Russian missile and drone strikes, but recent hits on Russian aircraft suggest at least one battery is being used within range of the southern and eastern fronts, perhaps in a mobile capacity.

One system, Stupak said, appears not to be "located in a particular territory, so it's always on the move...It could be deployed here or there, Kharkiv region or Dnipro region. And the crew is waiting to trap Russian planes and destroy them. [They can] launch missiles towards the planes, and within maybe 20 minutes, leave the territory and hide."

Luzin said such an approach would not be unusual. "Patriots can be mobile, there is no technical problem," he explained. "Missile ambush is a known tactic."

Other theories appear less likely. "Some of our citizens believe it's F-16s," Stupak said, noting the proliferation of rumors suggesting the American-made fighter jets are already operating in Ukrainian skies. Ukrainian pilots are currently undergoing training on the platform, and the first F-16s are expected to be flying missions sometime in the first half of 2024.

Friendly fire, Stupak added, would be "very strange" given the radar and electronic signals produced by the A-50 and Il-22, their location in Russian airspace, and the likely presence of escort fighter aircraft.

For Russian anti-aircraft operators to confuse this "motorcade" for enemy planes would be "weird," Stupak said, but acknowledged that " blue-on-blue" aerial incidents have been a recurring problem for Russian forces operating in Ukraine.


This photo taken on March 27, 2019 shows a test of a U.S. Patriot surface-to-air missile at the Redstone Arsenal military base in Alabama. The U.S. and Germany have provided several Patriot anti-aircraft systems to Ukraine.JASON CUTSHAW/U.S. ARMY SPACE AND MISSILE DEFENSE COMMAND

Regardless of how they were downed, the loss of one or both aircraft could pose a problem for Moscow. "These types of aircraft allow Russia to conduct theater electronic and radar intelligence," Luzin said. "These aircraft allow Russia to find targets for long-range missile strikes."

The planes are also designed to track enemy operations, including the launch of Ukraine's advanced Western-supplied missiles. "It could see almost all the territory of Ukraine: combat helicopters, combat jets, missiles, launchers, Storm Shadow launches," Stupak added of the A-50. "It could warn ground forces to be careful if Ukrainian Storm Shadows, for example, were heading towards them."

Such aircraft and their crew will not be easily replaceable, Stupak said. "There are 15 crew onboard, and they are not just simple guys...they are highly trained for years because they are dealing with a lot of electronic devices, with radio equipment, and so on."

Such operators, he added, have "at least five years of education plus five years of direct work; a minimum of 10 years of experience...It's very painful for the Russian air force."


Colonel Natalia Humeniuk, the head of the United Coordinating Press Center of Security and Defense Forces of the South of Ukraine, said during a briefing on Monday that the "downing of two aircraft" was significant to the battlefield situation.

"The A-50 in fact functioned as the 'eyes' of the enemy, because with the help of this plane and the equipment enabling its activity, the enemy monitored our territory and carried out powerful missile strikes," Humeniuk said.

"And it is due to the A-50 that the situation with future targets has become rather uncertain. Therefore, we will count on the fact that such a hit will be quite sensitive and will at least delay future missile strikes."

newsweek.com