To: Broken_Clock who wrote (1434665 ) 1/20/2024 6:23:06 PM From: Brumar89 2 RecommendationsRecommended By
Read Replies (1) | Respond to Michael Harrington I wrote a post for a Ukrainian page but I decided to share it here as well... ________________________________________ Russia is a resource export nation versus the United States and the EU which are product exporting nations. The difference is quite significant. When Russia drafted up their current count of soldiers they started a "Doom Loop" as it were. A Doom Loop where they lack the skilled labor to keep up to the needed repairs, upgrades, and otherwise for their economy. Since they drafted outside of Moscow they made it worse than they realize. For example plumbers will be harder to find so bathrooms will wait a while before being fixed. It seems a trivial thing but a business with no working toilets means lost labor as people have to go elsewhere to use the restroom and it means increased costs. Electricians are in short supply compared to what they were, pipe fitters, welders, truck drivers and warehouse workers. The net result is shortages happen in labor, in repairs, in supplies, and so forth. At first it seems trivial. A day extra wait. Then it is several days, then a week. Then the repairs are improvised or the parts are poor quality substitutes. Over time the problem compounds. That is Russia. Now the United States could currently draft 5 million soldiers if needed for a true war. We would not suffer like Russia is and there is a big reason why. We are exporters of consumer and durable goods. We make products for others and we can shift to domestic needs to replace that which got drafted with ease. The European Union is similar in capabilities and could draft a lot more soldiers than Russia can. If Russia wants to drop technologically and accept losing access to technologies that are common elsewhere it would not lead them to success. War has changed, the massed human waves they did in World War II would fail today to a few cluster munitions and some heavy machine guns going all out with night scopes attached. Russia is currently deep in their state of collapse and putting off repairs is now common instead of unheard of. Jury rigging is now acceptable instead of seeing zero toleration. The US has a word for aircraft (fighters and bombers) that cannot fly because of a lack of parts. They are called "Hangar Queens". How much of the Russian air force is made up of Hangar Queens? An awful lot I am presuming and it is going to get harder for them to keep those aircraft up and running. The same with tanks and armored vehicles. Heck with all vehicles except maybe those cars everyone hates in Russia but they all drive because at least it is affordable on piss wages... They are having parts problems and it affects how much equipment they can use at a given time. This is why you see abandoned vehicles quite frequently, they could not keep it up and left it behind because they were scared of being a target. Heck their supply situation is bad enough they could not supply socks to their own soldiers which is hardly a difficult duty. Stores everywhere carry socks... Which leads me to corruption and budget shortfalls. If they cannot supply tourniquets, nor socks... When they have old rifles put back into service and ancient vehicles instead of new ones... They have a budget crisis. One that cannot be met easily and so they are obviously printing money right now. So in a year they will have hyperinflation and they will have a shortage of labor problem that has peaked. Russia is very close to collapse because of the ambitions of Putin and the amazing resistance and skills of the average Ukrainian. Do not lose hope, while you are fighting slower the fight is in your favor, SLAVA UKRAINE!
