To: Elroy who wrote (74925 ) 1/25/2024 5:39:50 PM From: Harshu Vyas Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 78486 Imo, just buy OXY as an energy hedge (if that's what you're looking for). There are two main components to an investment - the quality of the business and the calibre of the management running the business. How do you evaluate the management of a foreign company? It's very hard, imo. Too many times, investors focus too much on the numbers, don't bother with the latter and get burned in the process. I think there has to be equal weighting. With Buffett in the background, you can be sure he's pulling the strings and investors will likely benefit from that. Not only that, but listen to the way Ms Hollub speaks. She's got shareholders interests at the forefront of her mind. Has Buffett been coaching her or is it why he invested to begin with? Either way, it's impressive (I probably ought to listen to her 2018/19 interviews, conference calls etc). I think DVN also has solid management but the valuation is a little rich for my liking (mind you, it's coming down). With me, I don't care how cheap the stock is; if the execs and BoD look sketchy, I'm moving on. =============================================================================== As for me in 2024, I'm betting on a successful Cutera turnaround. Using the example of management, why am I confident Cutera turn around successfully despite all of the accounting misstatements and negative press? Taylor Harris has a very clean, very impressive CV from working at JPM to turning around other struggling businesses (as CFO). Now, why would he choose to be CEO of a company that's as bad as the market makes out? There is a chance he's got it totally wrong and he's in too deep but, given his previous endeavours, I can say confidently that he's the man I would want at the helm. I can't say that for many of the hundreds of other "cheap" micro-caps I've briefly looked at. A similar (but not as extreme) occurrence has happened at WWW and VFC. Both CEOs impress me with their candour and experience. Bracken Darrell has yet to take bold action at VFC but he has the perfect resume - look at his history at Logitech. As for WWW, Hufnagel hasn't been a leader in the past but his decisive, aggressive action has to be lauded (- and the WWW BoD are correctly keeping management on their toes). I'm just talking about the CEOs here. But you have to look deeper. Look at all of senior management and evaluate them. Should they be where they are or have they been "gifted" a high level position? Of course, the CEOs get the limelight and are easier to research but it's a whole team that drives the business forward. CEOs that don't recognise this and like to take credit are also a massive turn-off for me. And it's generally intuitive as to what type of CEO you're looking at. The way they dress, the way they speak, the compensation they take... (I was fooled by Bob Pittman of IHRT. He's a darn good talker and he had me convinced for months! Side note - management know you want to see them buy shares. Make of that what you will...) Sometimes the intangible qualities of management have to be given a premium. More so, when you trust them to act responsibly (i.e if they aren't going to squander capital, that, by definition, means they are less risky). Of course, this is brief. =============================================================================== Other stocks I'm looking at this year that I think could perform well: PARAA (takeover target), CCL (volatile stock, you'll get action as a bear or bull!), JD.com (it's cheap but it's Chinese), WBA (potential Boots spin-off; let's see how it goes)... Overall, I'm definitely short on ideas and I get the feeling that the general thread is. But having less ideas definitely makes running a portfolio easier. Best, Harsh Vyas