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Technology Stocks : CellularVision (CVUS): 2-way LMDS wireless cable. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: wallyam who wrote (1164)2/17/1998 8:43:00 PM
From: James Fink  Respond to of 2063
 
U.S. raising billions in latest spectrum auction

Reuters Story - February 17, 1998 19:49

By Aaron Pressman

WASHINGTON, Feb 17 (Reuters) - The Federal Communications
Commission opens bidding Wednesday on the rights to a broad
swath of airwaves, seeking to promote new competition against
local phone and cable television monopolies.

The "Local Multipoint Distribution Service," or LMDS, band
of spectrum uses microwaves to send high volumes of information
between fixed points. That makes it suitable for replacing
cable television or telephone wires but not mobile phones or
pagers.

Initially, most companies that win licenses are expected to
offer telephone and high-speed Internet connections to small-
and medium-sized businesses, but once the networks are up and
running residential customers will get linked as well.

"Once you build out the network to 70 percent or so of the
business market, without even trying you can get 40 or 50
percent of households," said Dan Ernst, an industry consultant
with the Strategis Group in Washington.

The wireless bandwidth provided by a single LMDS license
could carry 16,000 phone calls, vast amounts of computer data
or 200 television channels, FCC officials said.

Deregulation of the cable and telephone industries has thus
far failed to stimulate much competition to provide residential
services, so the FCC is increasingly looking to new mechanisms
for breaking the grip of local monopolies.

"Licensees could potentially be competitors to cable
television systems," one FCC staffer said. "A lot depends on
how the technology develops, but we're confident that the
licenses will be put to good use."

To ensure competition gets off the ground, the FCC
prohibited local telephone and cable companies from owning LMDS
licences in their current service areas for three years. The
companies are permitted to hold up to a 20 percent stake in a
company that owns a license or to own a licenses outside their
areas.

The restrictions angered the local telephone carriers but
two weeks ago a federal appeals court here rejected their
challenge to the rules.

The local telephone carriers could still end up dominating
the new services through resale agreements, according to
Richard Bergen, a consultant with Hardin & Associates advising
several of the bidders.

"The real revenue streams from LMDS will be in resale,"
Bergen said. "The incumbent local exchange carriers may be the
largest users of the spectrum at the end of the day."

Estimating the value of future service revenues, Ernst said
the licenses are worth about $4 billion but he declined to
predict how much the FCC would actually collect. Government
budget analysts estimated proceeds of $500 million.

The estimates might be higher but the FCC revised its
bidding rules for the LMDS auction, after several high-profile
winners in the $10.3 billion 1996 personal communications
services auction declared bankruptcy.

No longer will the commission allow winning bidders to pay
for licences on an installment plan. New and smaller companies
will get discounts of 25 to 45 percent but everyone will have
to pay right away.

In part to avoid the specter of more bankrupt license
holders, firms in the LMDS auction had to make substantial
upfront payments to qualify for bidding.

WNP Communications, a private firm backed by venture
capital funds, put up $100 million -- by far the largest
upfront sum.

Nextband Communications, owned in part by Nextel
Communications , put up $50 million and BCK/Rivgam LLC,
a private group including mutual fund manager Mario Gabelli,
forked out $33 million.

Other qualified bidders included Actel Corp , SBC
Communications Corp's video serices unit, US West
and Winstar Communications.

The auction will be divided into large and small license
rights in each of 493 distinct markets around the country. The
auctions run indefinitely until no firm wants to increase its
bid.



To: wallyam who wrote (1164)2/17/1998 8:45:00 PM
From: James Fink  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2063
 
I find it interesting that the analysts believe the primary revenue stream for LMDS licensees will be resale agreements with the Bell companies. The Bell companies better be careful -- exclusive resale agreements can amount to an unauthorized transfer of control, which would violate FCC rules.



To: wallyam who wrote (1164)2/17/1998 10:20:00 PM
From: Elliot W  Respond to of 2063
 
Your Worden 2000 chart is wrong!

If you look at the intraday activity, you'll see that about 80% of the volume was up volume. The end-of-day charts would have you believe that money was going in the other direction. I hope that in the long run things will even out, but the guys making the market in CVUS don't appear to be a friendly lot.

Elliot