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To: Wharf Rat who wrote (46628)4/27/2024 12:08:08 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Respond to of 49165
 
Extreme Temperature Diary- Friday April 26th, 2024/Main Topic: Deadly Heatwave Strikes Southern Asia – Guy On Climate
Dear Diary. Before monsoon weather sets in during the summer, spring is usually the hottest time of the year from Pakistan and India eastward through much of southern Asia. Climate change is ramping up the heat in earnest there, and this year is no exception. We already have a noteworthy heat dome of some extent throughout the area, which will peak on Monday of next week as noted by anomalous orange colors on the following Pivotal Weather chart:

Lower down in the atmosphere at the 850 millibar level one can see very anomalously warm temperature values:



Conditions won’t get much better after Monday, though.

Climate models suggest that southern Asia will be very susceptible to heat that may make portions of that area unlivable later this century if not put in check by cutting carbon pollution. This year’s heat wave is pointing towards our environmental negligence because it reinforces trends towards unlivable desolation in southern Asia.

Here are some recent extreme temperature reports from Maximilliano Herrera:
Here is a new article describing deadly heat in Bangkok Thailand:

Heatstroke kills 30 in Thailand this year as Southeast Asia bakes (msn.com)

Heatstroke kills 30 in Thailand this year as Southeast Asia bakesMillions of people across South and Southeast Asia sweltered through unusually hot weather on Thursday, as the Thai government said heatstroke has already killed at least 30 people this year.

A woman carries her daughter through a market in Hyderabad as much of South and Southeast Asia endure heatwaves© Noah SEELAM

A wave of exceptionally hot weather has blasted the region this week, prompting thousands of schools across the Philippines to suspend in-person classes.

An Indian minister blamed hot weather after he fainted during an election campaign speech as the country’s weather bureau said severe heatwave conditions were expected in nine eastern and southern states in the coming days.

Even mountainous Nepal issued health warnings and put hospitals on alert on Thursday as temperatures soared in its southern plains.

Scientific research has shown climate change is causing heatwaves to be longer, more frequent and more intense.

The United Nations said this week Asia was the region most affected by climate and weather hazards in 2023, with floods and storms the chief causes of casualties and economic losses.

City authorities in Bangkok gave an extreme heat warning as the heat index was expected to rise above 52 degrees Celsius (125 degrees Fahrenheit).

Motorcyclists wait under the shade at a traffic intersection in Bangkok© MANAN VATSYAYANA

Temperatures in the concrete sprawl of the Thai capital hit 40.1C (104.2F) on Wednesday and similar levels were forecast for Thursday.

The heat index — a measure of what the temperature feels like taking into account humidity, wind speed and other factors — was at an “extremely dangerous” level in Bangkok, the city’s environment department warned.

Related video: Heatwave alert in Asia: Sweltering heat across South, Southeast Asia (WION)

msn.com

Authorities in Udon Thani province, in the kingdom's rural northeast, also warned of blazing temperatures on Thursday.The health ministry said late Wednesday that 30 people had died from heatstroke between January 1 and April 17, compared with 37 in the whole of 2023.

Direk Khampaen, deputy director-general of Thailand’s Department of Disease Control, told AFP that officials were urging elderly people and those with underlying medical conditions including obesity to stay indoors and drink water regularly.

A man on a motorcycle has his face covered with a scarf to shelter from the heat in Amritsar in India© Narinder NANU

The Philippines’ state weather service said the heat index in 38 cities and municipalities, including Manila, would be in the “danger” zone on Thursday — feeling like 42-51C (108-124F).

“Heat cramps and heat exhaustion are likely” in such conditions, the service said, and “heat stroke is probable with continued exposure”, the service said.

India’s Roads Minister Nitin Gadkari fainted during a speech on Wednesday as he campaigned for the re-election of Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government.

“I felt uncomfortable due to the heat during the rally,” Gadkari wrote on social media platform X, adding that he had recovered and would continue campaigning.

India is in the middle of a marathon election staggered across six weeks, with large outdoor campaign rallies being staged across the country.

The election commission said this week that it was reviewing the impact of heatwaves and humidity before each round of voting with a view to “mitigatory measures” that would still allow people to cast their ballots.

Women walk under umbrellas to shelter from the sun on a hot day in Yangon, as authorities issue extreme heat warnings across South and Southeast Asia© Sai Aung MAIN

– Nepal hospital alert –In Nepal, temperatures were forecast to soar above 40C (104F) in two southern provinces, and the government ordered officials to prepare.

“We have already circulated messages to local bodies to be alert and asked hospitals to be on standby to serve more patients,” Roshan Pokhrel, a secretary at the Ministry of Health and Population, told AFP.

Caretakers bathe an elephant at a zoo in Mumbai as authorities across South and Southeast Asia issue extreme heat warnings© Punit PARANJPE

Krishna Kumar Gupta, an official in southern Lumbini province, said incidences of wildfires have also gone up.

“Yesterday it was 43 degrees Celsius and people have also started to feel sick. We are getting complaints of diarrhoea, dehydration and headaches,” he said.

April is typically the hottest time of the year in Thailand and other countries in Southeast Asia but conditions this year have been exacerbated by the El Nino weather pattern.

There were record levels of heat stress across the globe last year, with the United Nations weather and climate agency saying Asia was warming at a particularly rapid pace.

Thailand has sweltered through a heatwave this week, with a temperature of 44.2C (111.6F) recorded in the northern province of Lampang on Monday — just shy of the all-time national record of 44.6C (112.3F) hit last year.

Across the border in Myanmar, the temperature reached a blazing 45.9C (114.6F) on Wednesday, with more of the same expected Thursday.

The chaos and conflict unleashed by the military’s 2021 coup has led to rolling power blackouts in much of the country, hampering people’s ability to keep cool with fans and air-conditioning.

Here are more “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks, as well as any extreme precipitation reports:



To: Wharf Rat who wrote (46628)4/27/2024 8:01:26 PM
From: Wharf Rat  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 49165
 

Main Topic: Deadly Heatwave Strikes Southern Asia


Dear Diary. Yesterday I posted a report on how dire heat was getting in southern Asia. I’ve posted many more eye-popping records from weather historian Maximilliano Herrera in my “ET” section below today’s topic. While not dire or a heatwave, there are signs that record global warmth due to our carbon pollution will produce very early summerlike temps across the southern and eastern U.S. starting next week.

High 500 millibar heights relative to average have occurred in April and will build early next week:

We won’t see a heat dome, but some records will be a jeopardy, especially in the mid-Atlantic area. Will Washington D.C. hit 90°F in late April? Stay tuned.

Here are details from the Washington Post (For more charts and graphs not reposted, hit the following link):

Sudden summer: D.C. could see its first 90-degree day this year Monday – The Washington Post

Sudden summer: D.C. could see its first 90-degree day this year MondayIt would arrive about 2 weeks ahead of schedule. Some records could be broken.By Ian Livingston

April 26, 2024 at 10:44 a.m. EDT

By how much high temperatures are forecast to be above average on Monday. (weatherbell.com)

Chillier than normal weather ruled the Washington region for most of the last week — with highs mostly in the 60s. But mother nature’s heater is about to turn on full blast.

The District could see high temperatures of 90 degrees Monday and Tuesday as the first surge of summer heat swells over the region. Temperatures this high would be 15 to 20 degrees above normal.

To hit 90 for the first time in late April would be about two weeks earlier than normal but not all that surprising considering 2024 has been one of Washington’s warmest years on record so far. Recall that it hit 80 degrees in January for the first time on record.

If the District reaches 90 on Monday, it will be the earliest first instance since 2017, when it first hit 90 on April 29.

With an early season heat dome developing over the eastern United States starting late this weekend, the area is poised to post a streak of five or six days with highs in the 80s or higher. This is fairly impressive for the time of year when average highs are still in the low 70s.

Monday appears to have the highest chance of reaching 90, but Tuesday could reach the mark as well. Some model simulations suggest additional chances to hit 90 late next week (around May 2 or 3).

Here’s a summary of model projections for high temperatures on Monday and Tuesday:

  • American GFS — 89 Monday / 84 Tuesday
  • European ECMWF — 87 / 90
  • Canadian — 88 / 86
  • ICON — 88 / 86
  • Machine learning average — 92 / 90
This time of year, when the air is still relatively dry, daytime temperatures sometimes end up higher than projected, particularly if clouds are few and winds come in from the west.

An unusually early taste of summerWashington’s normal first 90-degree day is around May 16; it’s around May 14 in Baltimore and May 19 at Dulles International Airport.

On days when the urban centers just nick 90 degrees, surrounding suburbs often aren’t quite as hot, with highs typically in the mid- to upper 80s.

Washington’s earliest 90-degree day on record occurred on March 22, 1907. More recently, it hit 90 as early as April 6, 2010, setting the stage for a record-tying 67 days at or above 90 that summer.

D.C.’s latest first instance of 90 degrees waited until July 12 in 1979.

Last year’s first 90 held off until June 2, which was about two weeks later than normal.

Records at riskThe hot weather early next could challenge records. Monday’s record high in Washington is 91 (from 2017) and 92 on Tuesday (from 1942).

Forecast highs for Monday. (Pivotal Weather)

Record-breaking heat at Dulles Airport is more probable because the numbers to beat are lower (records at Dulles only date to 1963 compared to the 1870s in Washington). Monday’s existing record high is 89 (from 2017), and Tuesday’s is 86 (from 2017).

Record-warm lows are possible on Tuesday as it’s not forecast to get any cooler than the low- to mid-60s in the morning. The warmest lows on record for the date are 67 in Washington, 66 at Dulles and 63 in Baltimore.

More to come?After flirting with 90 degrees on Monday and Tuesday, warmer than normal weather is favored to persist through the workweek and perhaps into the weekend before temperatures return closer to normal.

But odds are any cool-down won’t last long. This is the fourth-warmest year on record to date and a hotter than typical summer is anticipated.

The trend toward higher temperatures in Washington — the city has warmed about 5 degrees since the late 1870s — is the result of human-caused climate change. Both the burning of fossil fuels and urbanization are driving temperatures higher.

Jason Samenow contributed to this report.

By Ian Livingston Ian Livingston is a forecaster/photographer and information lead for the Capital Weather Gang. By day, Ian is a defense and national security researcher at a D.C. think tank. Twitter

Here are more “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks, as well as any extreme precipitation reports: