To: Vattila who wrote (55206 ) 7/30/2024 6:32:27 PM From: Vattila Read Replies (4) | Respond to AMD 2024-Q2 EPS Contest (non-GAAP) — Results Reported Results: $0.69 $5.84B $6.70B ± 0.30B Rank User EPS Revenue Outlook 1 neolib $0.69 $5.85B $6.85B 2 Vattila $0.68 $5.80B $6.80B 3 Kelvin C.P. Wang $0.68 $5.90B $6.90B - Bing Copilot $0.67 $5.74B $6.66B - Zacks Estimate $0.67 $5.71B $6.58B 4 Pravin Kamdar $0.66 $5.70B $6.40B 5 rzborusa $0.65 $5.76B $6.84B 6 Joe NYC $0.64 $5.90B $6.70B
Here are the contest results. Neolib won the contest this quarter with a bullseye on EPS, also coming very close on revenue. Impressive! I secured second place with my revised entry, and Kelvin also did well with third place, just ahead of Bing Copilot and Zacks. Notably, Joe hit the outlook perfectly on the nose. Nice! On the 2024 leaderboard, which is ranked by overall score, Joe replaces Pravin at the top of the board, closely followed by Bing Copilot. Neolib climbs to second place, and Rzborusa follows, just about managing to stay ahead of Zacks, which is good to see. Pravin, I and Kelvin remain trailing, but within distance. Thanks to all for playing! --- Scoreboards Note that, unlike the main EPS Contest, which is primarily ranked by EPS, these boards are ranked by overall score, which is an equally weighted average of subscores. Scores are calculated as (1+error)^-2 per quarter and normalized for the year by sum(scores)/4. The squaring of the denominator in the score calculation is just done to spread out the scores a little. There is no explicit relative weighting of EPS and revenue error, i.e. a 1 cent error in EPS equals a $10M error in revenue. AMD 2024 EPS Contest Scores 2024 Leaderboard Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Joe NYC 2 0.47 0.44 0.48 0.4602 - Bing Copilot 2 0.48 0.45 0.44 0.4535 2 neolib 2 0.50 0.46 0.40 0.4500 3 rzborusa 2 0.48 0.44 0.42 0.4472 - Zacks Estimate 2 0.48 0.42 0.42 0.4403 4 Pravin Kamdar 2 0.48 0.43 0.40 0.4340 5 Vattila 2 0.47 0.45 0.38 0.4339 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 2 0.49 0.42 0.35 0.4186
AMD 2023 EPS Contest Scores 2023 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.97 0.89 0.66 0.8390 1 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.94 0.88 0.56 0.7938 2 Vattila 4 0.98 0.89 0.46 0.7759 3 neolib 4 0.96 0.80 0.56 0.7735 - Bing Chat 4 0.94 0.83 0.47 0.7457 4 Joe NYC 4 0.95 0.80 0.46 0.7375 5 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.81 0.41 0.7220 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.95 0.74 0.37 0.6850
AMD 2022 EPS Contest Scores 2022 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.92 0.83 0.62 0.7895 1 Joe NYC 4 0.82 0.72 0.75 0.7618 2 neolib 4 0.90 0.73 0.65 0.7617 3 Vattila 4 0.87 0.84 0.51 0.7390 4 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.7371 5 rzborusa 4 0.81 0.73 0.56 0.7020 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.84 0.75 0.48 0.6925 7 gvatty 2 0.48 0.38 0.30 0.3848 8 fastpathguru 1 0.15 0.10 0.06 0.1038 2022 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.92 0.83 0.62 0.7895 1 gvatty 2 0.95 0.75 0.60 0.7696 2 Joe NYC 4 0.82 0.72 0.75 0.7618 3 neolib 4 0.90 0.73 0.65 0.7617 4 Vattila 4 0.87 0.84 0.51 0.7390 5 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.7371 6 rzborusa 4 0.81 0.73 0.56 0.7020 7 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.84 0.75 0.48 0.6925 8 fastpathguru 1 0.59 0.42 0.24 0.4153
AMD 2021 EPS Contest Scores 2021 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.93 0.86 0.72 0.8397 2 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.88 0.69 0.8367 3 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.78 0.70 0.8105 4 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.93 0.75 0.75 0.8101 5 gvatty 4 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.8068 6 Vattila 4 0.92 0.77 0.71 0.7966 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.83 0.65 0.53 0.6694 7 neolib 3 0.71 0.66 0.61 0.6614 8 engineer 1 0.24 0.18 0.21 0.2111 9 fastpathguru 1 0.23 0.18 0.15 0.1852 10 eetnoyer 1 0.20 0.17 0.10 0.1556 2021 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 neolib 3 0.95 0.88 0.82 0.8819 2 engineer 1 0.96 0.73 0.84 0.8445 3 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.93 0.86 0.72 0.8397 4 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.88 0.69 0.8367 5 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.78 0.70 0.8105 6 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.93 0.75 0.75 0.8101 7 gvatty 4 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.8068 8 Vattila 4 0.92 0.77 0.71 0.7966 9 fastpathguru 1 0.92 0.71 0.59 0.7408 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.83 0.65 0.53 0.6694 10 eetnoyer 1 0.78 0.68 0.40 0.6222
AMD 2020 EPS Contest Scores 2020 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 2 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 3 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.72 0.62 0.50 0.6128 4 rzborusa 3 0.69 0.57 0.47 0.5812 5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.24 0.23 0.17 0.2150 6 jc474 1 0.23 0.19 0.19 0.2020 2020 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.96 0.92 0.69 0.8601 2 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.96 0.83 0.66 0.8171 3 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 4 jc474 1 0.92 0.74 0.76 0.8080 5 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 6 rzborusa 3 0.93 0.76 0.63 0.7749
