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To: pass pass who wrote (20759)2/19/1998 5:24:00 PM
From: Eugene M O'Donnell  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36349
 
Pass pass,

For an informative write-up on LMDS, read EE Times this week, (Issue 993) or visit their web-site. LMDS is not expected to have impact anywhere where cables are readily available, since there is a cost to construct antennas (like cellular phones) and there are other issues such as line of sight (what killed MMDS in CA AND NY) and rain fade. Most people don't see LMDS as competitive for 3-5 years at least.

Regards,
GENE



To: pass pass who wrote (20759)2/19/1998 9:49:00 PM
From: Purebull  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36349
 
Pass Pass, I posted your question on another thread and here is a response, from Mike Sweeney, to your question, "How is the upcoming LMDS auction and LU's buyout from HP's wireless division going to affect PAIR? If LMDS is as good as it sounds, it may be a very threatening last-mile alternative to xDSL."

So far, there has been a surprisingly slow start to the LMDS auction. This is surprising to me because even out of the gate LMDS will provide a cost-effective, and quick to install, way to provide
businesses with up to 45Mps Internet connectivity. There should be a
huge market for this type of business service! So the initial reluctance
of financial backers to support LMDS bidders is very surprising.
CellularVision locates in New York, for instance, (the one existing
pioneer LMDS service provider) wanted to expand its service by bidding on licenses in other areas of the nation but had to with draw from the bidding today because of a lack of financial backing! The auction is expected to take several months so perhaps financial backers are initially play it coy to see how the auction takes shape. (Perhaps because of the hard won experience in the over bidding debacle in the PCS auction)

LMDS has many advantages over DSL but, for now, one major drawback for
the home user.DSL is now enjoying the development of easy to install
versions, that will use several about to be released and cost effective premise modems, that will not require a truck roll to install. LMDS on the other hand will require the professional installation of an antenna, radio, router, connective cabling, and/or NIC installation at the customer's premise. This can be done faster and less expensively than a T1 install at a business but is a huge disadvantage at a home install.

I predict that the long term potential of LMDS deployment is immense and LMDS will sometime down the road catch up to and then substantially overtake DSL deployment. It will not only overtake DSL here in the US and but especially in most other parts of the world that don't have the advantage of the US copper infrastructure.