SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Sun Tzu who wrote (86851)6/26/2024 3:01:33 PM
From: Tweets Boar Hog1 Recommendation

Recommended By
ajtj99

  Respond to of 97947
 
I do not have any positions in crypto at the moment.

The BTC weeklies look a bit broke, with more down to go. Next arrest and response will tell the story.

The dollar is trying to poke its head above 107, if it does should go much higher. Gold, silver and crypto don't seem to appreciate it.

It has been reported but under appreciated maybe, that the Chinese and others are selling US treasuries. Yet the politicians continue to run huge deficits, which need to be financed. It is an open market. If some big holders are selling, and you need to pump more out on the market, you are going to need to offer incentives, seems to me. I do not see LT rates falling here. If they don't fall the dollar should continue to rise.

Until it tops and tanks, which I have that down the road a few years, at present. Then all hell should break loose, in gold, silver and crypto.

Just my present opinion.

Tweets



To: Sun Tzu who wrote (86851)7/5/2024 12:10:28 AM
From: Tweets Boar Hog3 Recommendations

Recommended By
ajtj99
catou1
towerdog

  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 97947
 
Bitcoin appears to be collapsing. The weeklies look like chit.

Message 34711631

A while back we discussed the dollar. I had it as up, you as down I recall. I still have it as up, not only up, but big up over the next 4 to 7 years. Slow mover it is. Someone, bless his good soul, recently said you had a dollar top in '27, or so. Is that so? I do not remember you saying that, more the opposite.

Talk to the hand sun. Lot of money riding on all of this, if we get our rotations correct. Lots and lots. Think a bit longer term.

Lots of bullish crypto/riot counts recently on other boards. Millenials and other recent generations like the crypto, are they about to learn a lesson? Or will Tweets have to buy some Riot?

Tweets

My next LT cycle low is early 2028, post a huge general market top. And possible a sea change in money rotation to crypto, gold, and silver.


I have shown this chart before. Riot is a marker for me, getting dubious here. It can still arrest and BO, but it looks doubtful at the moment. My next LT cycle low is early 2028, coincident with Bitcoin. When Riot did not break 20 area on last rebound it set off an alarm for wave reasons.

If it drops below 7.90 looks like a 5th and gut wrenching wave down into the cycle low. Otoh if it pulls it out and maybe breaks 15 or so, I may be a buyer.

Rsi pattern on weeklies currently bearish imo.