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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Reginald Middleton who wrote (28495)2/19/1998 9:54:00 AM
From: Yousef  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1583404
 
Reginald,

Re: "I will add my two cents (sense)... AMD is currently worth $8.17."

I also agree with you that AMD is currently "over valued" ... I recently
posted this estimate for AMD's worth -->

Message 3245943

"Re: " Can you please give your opinion as to what parts/products/skill
sets of AMD would be potentially of value to a purchaser?"

I would be happy to give my opinion ... the most valuable resource that
AMD has is its employees. In this age of high technology IC processes, trained,
experienced personnel (operators, technicians and engineers) are hard
to find.

If you ask how much AMD is worth ... I would look to the DEC Fab sale to
Intel as a benchmark. DEC sold their Fab and Alpha design to Intel for
about 700M$. I would value Fab25 and the K6 design at about that amount
of money. If you throw in the SDC process development center and Flash
business for another 500M$, then the total price for AMD would come in at
about 1.2B$ or $8.50/share.

I think potential "suitors" could be other big IC companies like Motorola
or TI that could be looking for the Fab space and processing expertise.
Both of these companies would re-direct the business away from the K6 and
direct competition with Intel. This business model was never going to work.


Make It So,
Yousef



To: Reginald Middleton who wrote (28495)2/19/1998 11:32:00 PM
From: Jefferson Prescott Dewhurst  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 1583404
 
Reginald,
Do you actually believe that:
<<AMD is currently worth $8.17. Under an optimistic scenario, its intrinsic share price is still only worth $12.50, that is 34.60% below yesterday's closing price. AMD, in my opinion is quite overvalued on a risk adjusted basis>>
Why don't you do a reality check and work up the book value of a fully equipped ~90,000 sq.ft.,.25 micron semi fab facility, divide by the # shares outstanding and use that as the starting point for asset value of AMD. If you are using your AMD analysis as an example of the value of your product it's very poor salesmanship. When you return to the planet earth try doing basic sanity checks on the numbers you produce before broadcasting them with your signature and reputation attached.
Dewy.