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To: Tim Luke who wrote (35378)2/19/1998 12:47:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 61433
 
That fine and dandy Glenn but take the worst case here, if Iraq sends a gas bomb over to
Israel if we strike them this whole thing could blow up into a major war. If this happens
how can you not think people will be running for the exit sending this market down hard
and fast.

footnote:
In cash and gone surfing!


Time,

Enjoy the surfing. I suspect a "flight to quality" will keep the US markets up.

Glenn



To: Tim Luke who wrote (35378)2/19/1998 1:10:00 PM
From: Greg h2o  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 61433
 
RE: << If this happens how can you not think people will be running for the exit sending this market down hard and fast.>>
Tim, I don't pretend to know exactly how the market would react if "Iraq lobs some gas bombs over at Israel," but I doubt it would "send the markets down hard, fast." I think because investors still have the Gulf War in their memories, they will react to what they perceive to be a quick, decisive victory on the part of the US. This is already built into the market. I think the one thing that COULD move the market down in a big way would be terrorist strikes outside of the mideast--especially if they occurred, God forbid, in the
US.

If you've been all in cash since the potential strike on Iraq, it's certainly been a miserable ride.... It seems to me it is a terribly large risk being totally OUT of the market. That being said, I'm finding it difficult to find very many intriguing stocks at this point to buy, so I'm 30% or so in cash.

regards,
greg