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To: LoneClone who wrote (180854)8/15/2024 5:59:00 PM
From: LoneClone  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 192583
 
China to limit antimony exports in latest critical mineral curbs

usnews.com

By Reuters
August 15, 20248:28 AM PDTUpdated 6 hours ago

Aug. 15, 2024, at 12:45 p.m.

By Seher Dareen

(Reuters) - China's decision to restrict exports of antimony from Sept. 15 is likely to drive prices of the metal used in ammunition and batteries to new records, as buyers seek more material to stockpile, analysts and traders said on Thursday.

"Given we are still at record prices, it's likely that prices will go even higher with this announcement," said Chetan Soni at consultancy CRU, adding that prices could reach $30,000 as buyers would be looking to secure material for future production or stockpiling.

China is the world's largest antimony producer, accounting for 48% of global supplies at 83,000 tons last year, according to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS).

It will impose export limits on antimony and related elements in the name of national security, China's commerce ministry said, its latest move to restrict shipments of critical minerals where it is the dominant supplier.

This could widen the deficit in the antimony market, which consultancy Project Blue estimated at 10,000 tons in May.

"China has already been cutting down on metal exports as they are consuming it all domestically," said Jack Bedder, co-founder of Project Blue.

Another upsurge in antimony prices will reinforce the western world's reliance on China for critical minerals, which also include rare earths, gallium and germanium, exports of which are also restricted since last year.

Other major producers of antimony include Myanmar, which accounted for 4,600 tons last year, Turkey for 6,000 tons and Tajikstan for 21,000 tons, according to USGS.

"The prospects of a small but antimony-rich country, Tajikistan, look good now," said Alexey Kabanov, CEO at Swiss-based trading firm Voyager Group.

The tight market conditions are partly because of disruptions in supply from Russia due to sanctions imposed after Moscow invaded Ukraine in February 2022 and Russia's lower domestic production. Russia produced 4,300 tons in 2023, data from USGS showed.

"There is no pipeline of supply to turn on," said Christopher Ecclestone, a principal and mining strategist at Hallgarten & Company in London, adding that prices could easily climb above $30,000 this year.