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Strategies & Market Trends : World Outlook -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Les H who wrote (43617)	9/21/2024 10:57:05 AM
From: Les H	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 48825

Ukraine - Recent Front Line Reports Point To Systemic Failures Two recent piece published in Ukrainian media take a look at the situation in eastern Ukraine and describe the reasons for the crumbling of Ukraine's defense lines. moonofalabama.org Russia anticipated Kursk invasion months in advance, issued directives to boost morale of troops: Guardian UK Report firstpost.com Kursk has speeded up fall of the Donbass defense lines. Instead of reassigning forces to Kursk, they pulled back to form a cauldron around the Ukrainian army which is being destroyed. Ukraine has failed to trigger red line escalation as their situation as viewed as desperate without Russia giving reason to get US ground forces into the war.

To: Les H who wrote (43617)	9/21/2024 5:23:11 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 48825

Wider war closer after Israel's attack on Lebanon Whatever the motive, the sabotage of Hezbollah comms devices will come with a response; the question is how big it will be Another feature of the Israeli use of deadly force is that it has represented most of the escalation that has occurred between Israel and its adversaries. This obviously has been true in the Gaza Strip, where the death and destruction Israel has inflicted vastly exceed the Hamas attack last October, to which the Israeli assault is ostensibly a response. It has been true of accelerated Israeli military operations in the occupied West Bank, where the casualties Israel has inflicted during the past year, including on children and other innocent civilians, are many times greater than what Palestinians there have done to Israelis. Along the Israeli-Lebanese frontier that has seen exchanges of fire between Israel and Hezbollah during the past year, Israel has carried out five times as many attacks as Hezbollah has attempted in the other direction, causing 10 times as many casualties, including civilian casualties. ... The pager attacks have stimulated a flurry of instant analysis centered on how the attacks fit into Israeli strategy, what the Israelis hoped to accomplish, and specifically the question of “why now.” It is analytically hazardous to try to make sense of the attacks in these terms, because — like much other Israeli use of lethal violence during the past year — they are not driven mainly by careful calculation of what is in Israel’s long-term interests. One of the main drivers has instead been the personal motivations of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who sees continued and even escalated warfare as his only ticket to holding his far-right coalition together, thus staying in power as well as putting off the day he has to confront fully the corruption charges against him. Another driver is emotional rather than strategic and involves a widespread Israeli hatred of Arabs that was made even more intense and indiscriminate amid the understandable anger over the Hamas attack last October. The nature of the operation involving explosive-laden communication devices constitutes in effect another driver. An operation this large and sophisticated, involving infiltration of supply lines and probably the creation of shell companies, had to have been planned and begun long ago. It is thus pointless to try to answer the question “why now” by speculating about what was going through the minds of the creators of the operation years earlier. ... In Washington, a key question is what the limits of U.S. patience are in the face of the same Israeli offences. The techno-terrorism in Lebanon comes on top of repeated Israeli pokes in the eye of the United States, whether it is Netanyahu’s succession of excuses for blocking a ceasefire in Gaza or Israel’s escalation of its conflict with Hezbollah at the very time a U.S. envoy was in the region attempting to de-escalate the conflict. responsiblestatecraft.org Israel is essentially doing what the US wants. It goes back to the think tanks' recommendations in the mid 2010s to engage Russia, China, and Iran in wars before they became too powerful. World war is already here with the US and a large coalition of 40-60 allied governments involved in a series of wars going back decades.