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Strategies & Market Trends : World Outlook -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Les H who wrote (43928)10/15/2024 9:58:01 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 48766
 
SITREP 10/14/24: Russia Tightens Ring on Key Region on Eve of Zelensky "Victory Plan" Unveiling

Simplicius
Oct 14, 2024

simplicius76.substack.com



To: Les H who wrote (43928)10/16/2024 7:57:18 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 48766
 
5 reasons why Zelenskyy’s victory plan for Ukraine is a no-win gamble
Ukraine's plan lacks viable strategy, resources to be successful

Ukraine is dramatically outgunned and outmanned by Russia. There’s a reason why the Pentagon considers Russia a "near peer competitor" against whom even the U.S. military would struggle to prevail, because Russia, if the U.S. were to deploy forces into the theater, would highly likely join forces with China, Iran and North Korea. Each of these three countries supports Russia’s war effort.

The United States is simply not ready for such a multi-theater war, according to the recently released report of the Commission on the National Defense Strategy (NDS). The commission concluded that "the U.S. military lacks both the capabilities and the capacity required to be confident it can deter and prevail in combat."

It is exactly why Biden wouldn’t permit Zelenskyy to use U.S. long-range weapons to strike deep into Russia. Biden knows full well that the risk of Putin using nuclear weapons and the risk of the U.S. being dragged into a direct war with Russia is real, as revealed by a large body of intelligence and confirmed by extensive wargaming we conducted in the intelligence community.

foxnews.com

Becomes even more reliant on drawing the US into a direct confrontation, much as Israel has done.

If US intelligence officials judged the odds of a tactical nuclear strike at 50 percent for tactical withdrawals at Kherson and Kharkiv in 2002, what did they think of cross-border attacks on Belgorod and Kursk? The answer is far more complicated, and 20,000 Ukrainian soldiers and NATO mercenaries breaching the border isn't going to change the course of the war.