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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jefferson Prescott Dewhurst who wrote (28588)2/20/1998 8:33:00 PM
From: Reginald Middleton  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 1572452
 
<<It gravitates towards the market value of the assets and not the book value.>>
This is exactly my point. The "MARKET Value " of the assets is ~$19/sh. It's not $8 or $12/sh as your faulty analysis indicates.


Was NSCP's assets worth $86 per share when the shares were selling at $86? Now you are assuming the market is truly efficient, which is a false assumption. Without a single significant change in actual assets and market conditions, NSCP's share price was halved in a matter of months.

The only way to prove the company's assets are worth $19 a share is to have a entity purchase the assets in thier entirety at $19 per share and maintain or produce an increase in aggregate value as the result. If the resultant purchase results in a decrease in value to the acquiring entity, the assets were overpriced, if the results are an increase in value the assets were underpriced.

An good example is the $700 million INTC acquisistion. If it is found that INTC robbed the hen house, a consequent, similar acquisition would most likely be priced higher - showing that the market price and actual economic value seek to reach parity. The parity point cannot be ascertained by simply looking up the share price of a company. Wall Street guys do go to school for something you know.



To: Jefferson Prescott Dewhurst who wrote (28588)2/21/1998 12:12:00 AM
From: Time Traveler  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572452
 
Dewey,

The reason why you are observing such a high AMD stock price is because of a buy-out fantasy/rumor. Over time, you should expect AMD price to slide down to the actual book value or below when the expectation of this buy-out evaporates ever so slowly.

John.