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To: mph who wrote (12341)2/21/1998 4:36:00 PM
From: Harold S.  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
I am no expert on TA and probably never will be. I have tweaked a TA program I use to respond to a specific set of TA indicators and then the program back tests those indicators against the specific stock in question and throws out any indicator that has historically proven to be inaccurate. It then produces buy and sell signals based on both the daily and weekly signals proven to be most accurate with that specific stock. I never believed the program could produce such accurate results but it works very well. I use a set of divergence indicators and give more weight to the weekly indicators. They sometimes lag by a week or so, but are amazingly accurate. I am posting this on this thread due to the stock UTI. As an example, and I promise you these results were created by the system I use, my weekly divergence system gave a buy signal on 4/11/97 at a price of
8 7/8. The system's next signal was a sell signal on 10/17/97 at a price of 40 dollars per share for a gain of app. 350%. Following that same sell signal on 10/17/97, selling or shorting at the same 40 per share, you would have held until 2/13/98 <That's correct...one week ago> and covered your short at the price of 12 15/16 when the computer again issued a BUY signal. This would have been another 67.66% profit. That same buy signal issued on 2/13/98 was reinforced with a reinforcing buy signal on 2/20/98 at 13 1/4. Yes, I understand technical analysis has its faults, but I am giving you actual buy and sell signals on this stock, UTI, generated by my tweaked system. This much I know, if the system hold true to past performance, this stock is getting ready to make a nice run and I have a high degree of confidence that it will. We can talk all day about Iraq, the price of crude, the winter weather, blah blah blah..but the bottom line is that anyone who knows anything about Ta will agree that the divergence indicators are among the MOST powerful out there for predicting future price movement of a stock and right now it is screaminggg BUY on UTI!!!