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Technology Stocks : Dupont Photomasks (DPMI) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jeffbas who wrote (151)2/21/1998 8:02:00 PM
From: shane forbes  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 955
 
Jeffrey:

RE: Quarterly Revenue Growth

They pointed out the currency effect over the last couple of quarters
- note the mention of the Korean Won especially.

Plus if you look at the annual numbers instead of quarterly numbers,
things are actually not so bad:

FY ends 6/30 Revenue Year over Year Gain

93 119 n/a
94 135 13%
95 162 20%
96 213 31%
97 261 23%

So although not perfectly smooth the growth is not by any means
close to negative or single digits. This year it will be lower but
that might be entirely explained by the currency problems. From the
way they phrased it in their recent earnings announcement it looks
like it took a sizeable chunk of their revenue from them. Perhaps
this is a situation where having plants in the countries where your
customers are and selling masks in the local currency really stings
the top line while keeping the bottom line relatively unscathed.

(Capital additions may be hurting the bottom line right now. But they
are a necessary evil to prepare for the longer term.)

Finally I would not penalize a company which has shown recent slower
growth rates as long as the fundamentals have not deteriorated. Since
not only have the fundamentals not deteriorated the company actually
appears to be even better positioned and we are entering over the
next 3-4 years what looks like a huge semiconductor cycle I think
you are getting down on the company at exactly the wrong time if
you have a longer term perspective (s/t price may go lower).