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Gold/Mining/Energy : Silver prices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: The Barracuda™ who wrote (790)2/23/1998 1:19:00 PM
From: The Barracuda™  Respond to of 8010
 
This was posted on Kitco

Date: Mon Feb 23 1998 12:02
D.A. (silver) ID#7568:
All:

A few minutes back, the open interest numbers were released by the comex for Friday end of
day. March silver still has about 42,000 contracts open or 210,000,000 ounces. First notice
day is Friday. The price of silver firmed on the back of this release.

The 'norm' for the silver contract has been between 15 - 20 thousand contracts open going
into FND. This past Friday the open interest declined by about 4000 contracts. We are
getting late in the game for the futures only players to be sticking around.

The silver market, as RJ has repeatedly pointed out, is one of the most gamed markets in the
world. All manner of deception is the rule. Keeping this in mind I cannot help but wonder if
we are witnessing an interesting event. It is quite possible that we are about to see the second
silver squeeze. The first squeeze was a squeeze in the cash market against WB's delivery
requirements. The second one may be in futures market.

A few weeks back when we were at the height of the cash market squeeze, the March EFP
got to something around 20 - 25 cents. For a holder of physical silver this was an enormous
incentive to loan metal to the market. One of ways this may have been done would be to sell
the cash metal in London and become a holder of March silver in New York. If this was the
case, then there may be large March longs who intend to stand for delivery, to replace the
silver which they sold in London.

With Comex inventories as low as they are, it could get rather exciting.

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