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Strategies & Market Trends : Buy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: northam who wrote (206997)2/1/2025 5:01:38 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™  Respond to of 221985
 
There was so much talk just a few months ago about when the yield curve inverts that once it un-inverts that a recession soon follows...

That was just about 3 months ago and there was no recession...

Looking at the historic data, that expected recession usually occurs about three months after the yield curve un-inverts...

So, this means that the possibility of a recession is still on the table...

Of course, I don't want to see that happen because no one benefits from that kind of economic slowdown, but we're only now first approaching that time window, and now with these markets beginning to looks rather toppy, I think that line of talk may reappear soon enough...

I'm not saying that there has to be a recession, but I am saying to insist that one will not occur is ignoring the data...

So, let's hope for the best and we'll see if anything like that actually does materialize in the near term...

GZ