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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Madharry who wrote (77234)2/25/2025 4:42:49 PM
From: E_K_S2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Lance Bredvold
roguedolphin

  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 78516
 
That's too much thinking for an assets that is hard (for me) to value.

FWIW started to peel off more UGI on lots I bought 8/2023 at $22.73/share w/ a small sale at $33.43 (29% CAGR). That is a 18 month hold so you had to be patient. Got lucky w/ UGI as it is a reversion to the mean play & maybe we can squeeze out another 27%. I like to scale out of a the position and w/ a down market it is nice to see several of these value Buys close green today.

Many REITs ended green for the day as long term rates continue to fall. TLT +1.72% (20 Treasury) signaling lower rates. NNN +1.98% was suggested by Grommit at/near $39, +9% in 10 days; WPC +16% in 9 days and even REG +7.6% in 6 days. Market is reacting to lower interest rates.

One still has to be aware of company specific risk as one of my top 10 holdings SRE -19% (a utility too) missed on earnings. Even w/ that sell off, the effective div yield is still only 3.5%. Therefore not adding until div yield gets to 4%.

I continue to slowly add AMAT based on Bruwins reviews but probably still early. PE at 18.3x is historically now at the low end.

For me, it's all about discipline, buying Value w/ low relative sector PEs and companies that are at/near their SMA(200) weekly. AMAT, MRK, UPS, JNJ & even LEG are some recent buys in the last 10 days.

As the market sells off, more of these Value low PE plays come up, so be patient let the prices come to your buy points (do not chase).

Still holding 20% cash I would eventually like to get working into an oversold market. Treasury money market yielding 4% continues to be an attractive place to park those funds (for now).