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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Qone0 who wrote (90551)	4/5/2025 11:53:30 AM
From: ajtj99	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 96694

I fully expect the Fed to chime in on Monday or Tuesday saying they are ready to provide the system with sufficient liquidity, and that might include another crisis facility opening up. QE or whatever.

To: Qone0 who wrote (90551)	4/5/2025 11:58:42 AM
From: Qone0	2 Recommendations Recommended By ajtj99 skier31 Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 96694

On another note we are here. A completed Bat from the April low. If that pattern hops the 2022 low retrace will be at a Bat B point of .50 This is a scarry scenario for the rest of the year.

To: Qone0 who wrote (90551)	4/5/2025 12:05:01 PM
From: jazzlover2	2 Recommendations Recommended By ajtj99 towerdog Respond to of 96694

Long time lurker here, just adding my $0.02, while that theory sounds interesting, personally I feel it gives the powers-that-be too much credit. That plan would be too risky to implement imho, too much to lose unless everything works out just right. In fact could this be the truth ? Message 35091434

To: Qone0 who wrote (90551)	4/5/2025 12:50:54 PM
From: Sun Tzu	Respond to of 96694

I've heard this theory before and no, I don't think there is any 4D chess going on here. This formulation is like saying I think of a better way to lose weight than to go on chemotherapy. First of all, an obvious solution is that the Fed could buy the debt and if necessary also institute a full yield curve control. That would not be great, but it was done during World War 2 and it could be done again with less pain than this BS. Secondly, you are assuming that the rest of the world will still keep financing US debt. But if the US makes it harder to gain the reserve currency (which is what tariffs are) while at the same time making it hard to spend them (which is what sanctions are - be they chip exports to China or airplane parts to Iran), then there is much less reason to want to own USD. Finally, the inflation caused by the tariffs will prevent the Fed from lowering the rates as much as they could have while simultaneously the economic slump will reduce government revenue. In fact Powell already refused Trump to lower rates and told reporters that he will focus on inflation before employment. So no. This is not planned. It's a dumbass shoot from the hip and then say, "who knew that shit stinks and flushes the country down the toilet."