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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Reginald Middleton who wrote (28710)2/23/1998 6:52:00 PM
From: AK2004  Respond to of 1572697
 
Regy
no kidding :-)) CAPM and APM too, wow. And a proprietary cost of capital projection model too. :-)) I gotta see that state of the art system. And I think everyone would want to hear about your model right here and I would love to comment on it too :-)) If you don't mind :-))
I could swear I got an impression that you use something a bit more sophisticated than that what you just described. he-he-he-he



To: Reginald Middleton who wrote (28710)2/24/1998 2:54:00 AM
From: Petz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1572697
 
This debate on stock price valuation models is interesting. In the case of AMD, the discounted value of future cash flows is basically unknowable, because the future production is not knowable. A smart investor has to assign probabilities to future profits, but even if God himself hold him exactly what was going to happen, thats no guarantee of making money.

Thats because it doesn't matter what the stock is really worth -- who cares? What will the market think its worth? That is the basis of contrary opinion. When publicity is concentrating on the negatives, the probability is that the "market overall" will not become even more negative on the stock.

Having said all this, your web site looks interesting and I'll have a look after acrobat reader is fixed on my machine.

Petz