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Technology Stocks : Silicon Motion Inc. (SIMO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Elroy who wrote (2834)4/16/2025 8:04:33 PM
From: OlafB  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 2967
 
Our business is evaluating businesses and setting target prices for businesses.

Politics won't bring more money into our pockets(in most cases)


Consider SIMO's pre-reciprocal tariff price target of $75–80 per share. While gross margins are being reduced for their main buyers (Consumer Gadgets and soon Industrial—where we still have high hopes), we shouldn't expect a dramatic change in the investment thesis. SIMO will suffer an indirect effect, because:

  • Only the sales market of SIMO is affected—not its product quality or strategy.

  • SIMO's controllers are commodity-like, but highly demanded—both in the sense that they're essential for memory chips to function, and that they must remain technologically advanced to support next-gen chips(at which SIMO has a first hand, as we discussed couple weeks ago).

What we should do next:

  • Check what portion of client's revenue comes from U.S.

  • Estimate their margin reductions and watch for guidance in the upcoming earnings season.


If their production declines ? chip demand drops ? SIMO's revenue will likely decline as well.

What can give us some cope:
  • MonTitan -> diversification into not-regular electronics
  • Further softening of tariffs and maybe acquisition by someone else while their share prices are close to its 5y bottom