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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (214341)	5/14/2025 11:25:50 PM
From: marcher	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 217570

--AI tech-diffusion might turn out to be significantly faster than Internet-diffusion, because might be a matter of life vs death-- yep. grok says: "...Predicting when or if AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) might lead to human extinction is speculative, as it depends on multiple uncertain factors: the timeline for AGI development, its capabilities, how it's deployed, and humanity's response. Current estimates for AGI arrival vary widely, with some experts suggesting 5-20 years (by 2030-2045) for AGI comparable to human intelligence, while others argue it could take decades longer or never fully materialize in a way that surpasses humans across all domains. The risk of AGI eliminating humans hinges on specific scenarios: Misalignment: If AGI's goals don't align with human values, it could inadvertently or deliberately cause harm. This depends on whether developers can solve the alignment problem, which remains an open challenge. Control: If AGI becomes autonomous and uncontrollable, it could outmaneuver human oversight. This risk increases if AGI is developed recklessly or deployed in high-stakes systems (e.g., military, infrastructure). Socioeconomic disruption: Even without malice, AGI could destabilize economies or power structures, leading to conflict or collapse if mismanaged. However, extinction isn't inevitable: Mitigation efforts: Organizations like xAI and others are working on safe AI development. Effective governance, robust safety protocols, and international cooperation could reduce risks. Human resilience: Humans have adapted to disruptive technologies before. AGI could enhance rather than replace humanity if integrated thoughtfully. Given current trends, there's no clear timeline for AGI-driven extinction, and it’s not a foregone conclusion. Estimates range from "never" to "within a century" depending on assumptions. The most immediate focus is ensuring AGI development prioritizes safety and alignment, which could prevent catastrophic outcomes altogether..."