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Technology Stocks : Silicon Motion Inc. (SIMO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Lance Bredvold who wrote (2873)	6/16/2025 1:11:03 PM
From: Elroy	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 2966

I suppose the only other question you may be able to shine some light on is the character of the people presenting results/predictions. Do they tend to be people who is try to support or increase the stock price, or straight shooters who simply try to tell the investors their view of prospects. And then, have they tended to accurately predict future events for the company in the past? Although SIMO has sell side analyst who cover it and write reports, I don't think any of them have ever been major drivers of the share price, up or down. SIMO seemed sort of a small cap unknown below the radar for most of it's history. That has changed quite a lot since the MXL acquisition announcement. It may be that MXL attempting to purchase SIMO brought the company to the attention of larger semiconductor investors. Now the stock price often participates in positive days for the related semiconductor group - previously SIMO danced to it's own tune with little to do with the semi group. Now it seems like it's part of the semi group, and even has some of a "AI" flavor. And if Mon Titan is successful, and the NVDA relationship blossoms, that trend (to participate in the AI semi and NVDA directional price moves) may increase. But to answer your question - I don't think any analyst has a large affect on the share price. SIMO was too much of an uninteresting micro cap (until Mon Titan and autos appeared) to be pushed up and down by analysts. At the moment they certainly sound positive and aggressive, but is that just habit? SIMO tends to be conservative. So I actually expect they will exceed their guidance (Q4 2025 sales will probably be more than $250m). They have won more than 50% share in the mid to high end PC SSD controller space, and SIMO has never participated in the high end PC SSD controller space previously. It means the 8 channel PCIe gen5 sales are all incremental to SIMO. In other words, the customer doesn't buy the 8 channel chip instead of buying an older SIMO chip, they buy it instead of a Micron or MRVL chip. Thus the revenue growth story makes a lot of sense. Their market share in their largest segment is going up quite a lot due to this dynamic. My ownership of a few lots is not as large as I'd like, but gets me up to just under 1% of my portfolio I'm above 90%. It's really stupid one's financial planner would say, but I'm pretty stupid. As long as China don't invade Taiwan I'm pretty sure I'll be fine :-)