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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rarebird who wrote (1543048)6/16/2025 2:26:25 PM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574059
 
Iranian Patriot in Tehran:




To: Rarebird who wrote (1543048)6/16/2025 2:30:21 PM
From: Brumar891 Recommendation

Recommended By
Doren

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574059
 
I do.



To: Rarebird who wrote (1543048)6/16/2025 4:17:17 PM
From: Tenchusatsu  Respond to of 1574059
 
I'm not Brumar, and I'm not sure you have me off Ignore, but I'll answer anyway.

Right now I think the strikes are very effective. Timing was almost perfect. Iran didn't have time to rebuild their air defenses. Now they're completely at the mercy of Israel's aviation, which means any valid military target that is even one meter above ground will be flattened.

The political consequences also seem rather muted. Again, this is the result of opportunism as a result of timing. No other American president will ever give him more leeway than Trump. The rest of the world seems powerless at the moment to do anything about it. That may change as we transition to a post-America world, which means for Netanyahu, better now than later.

However, the strategic consequences are unknown, because Netanyahu simply has no long-term strategy. He doesn't have one with Gaza, and he doesn't have one with Iran. Or if he does, it's not obvious to me or anyone else.

Right now, Netanyahu's war in Gaza is taking much longer than it should, even though Hamas is fresh out of allies. Hezbollah is in shambles, and the Houthi camel-fukkers are once again hiding in the sand dunes. Hamas should be finished by now, and yet Netanyahu continues fighting like Gaza is Ukraine. A forever war, PooTin-style.

What is Netanyahu's strategy for ending these wars? He can't continue to fight a two-front war, not even against enemies that are on their collective back feet.

Moreover, what is Netanyahu aiming for after these two wars are over? The resumption of diplomatic normalization with other Arab countries? That might be a worthy goal, but I certainly don't see him playing the long game here.

Tenchusatsu



To: Rarebird who wrote (1543048)6/16/2025 9:45:20 PM
From: Bonefish1 Recommendation

Recommended By
longz

  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1574059
 
Brumar is careful. Stays low when supporting anything he might possibly agree with trump on.